Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate daytime highs in Seoul near 28–29°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with early summer climatology before peak monsoon humidity builds. Ensemble model consensus and recent observational trends support this range as the most probable outcome, with limited potential for brief warming to 30°C or cooling below 27°C depending on cloud cover and urban heat island effects. Trader-implied odds reflect high confidence in these authoritative guidance products, tempered by typical forecast uncertainty of 1–2°C on any given day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on June 18?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$275,154 Vol.
$275,154 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$275,154 Vol.
$275,154 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate daytime highs in Seoul near 28–29°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with early summer climatology before peak monsoon humidity builds. Ensemble model consensus and recent observational trends support this range as the most probable outcome, with limited potential for brief warming to 30°C or cooling below 27°C depending on cloud cover and urban heat island effects. Trader-implied odds reflect high confidence in these authoritative guidance products, tempered by typical forecast uncertainty of 1–2°C on any given day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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