Latest short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models point to a June 24 high in Seoul most likely in the 27–29°C range, consistent with market-implied odds clustered around those outcomes. Primary drivers include the early influence of the East Asian summer monsoon, which is increasing humidity and introducing variable cloud cover or isolated showers that can suppress peak afternoon temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows modest day-to-day adjustments in timing of any frontal passage or diurnal heating, creating the tight spread between 27°C and 29°C. Historical June baselines for Seoul average near 27°C, with urban heat-island effects and model uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture providing the key variables traders are weighing ahead of final observational data on June 24.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on June 24?
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 24?
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$403,825 Vol.
$403,825 Vol.
Jun 24, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$403,825 Vol.
$403,825 Vol.
Jun 24, 2026
22°C or below
$4,417 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,090 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,899 Vol.
No
25°C
$21,454 Vol.
No
26°C
$60,818 Vol.
No
27°C
$65,789 Vol.
No
28°C
$75,231 Vol.
No
29°C
$80,869 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$39,381 Vol.
No
31°C
$24,211 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$22,663 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models point to a June 24 high in Seoul most likely in the 27–29°C range, consistent with market-implied odds clustered around those outcomes. Primary drivers include the early influence of the East Asian summer monsoon, which is increasing humidity and introducing variable cloud cover or isolated showers that can suppress peak afternoon temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows modest day-to-day adjustments in timing of any frontal passage or diurnal heating, creating the tight spread between 27°C and 29°C. Historical June baselines for Seoul average near 27°C, with urban heat-island effects and model uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture providing the key variables traders are weighing ahead of final observational data on June 24.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 22, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$403,825End Date
Jun 24, 2026Market Opened
Jun 22, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models point to a June 24 high in Seoul most likely in the 27–29°C range, consistent with market-implied odds clustered around those outcomes. Primary drivers include the early influence of the East Asian summer monsoon, which is increasing humidity and introducing variable cloud cover or isolated showers that can suppress peak afternoon temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows modest day-to-day adjustments in timing of any frontal passage or diurnal heating, creating the tight spread between 27°C and 29°C. Historical June baselines for Seoul average near 27°C, with urban heat-island effects and model uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture providing the key variables traders are weighing ahead of final observational data on June 24.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$403,825End Date
Jun 24, 2026Market Opened
Jun 22, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Latest short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models point to a June 24 high in Seoul most likely in the 27–29°C range, consistent with market-implied odds clustered around those outcomes. Primary drivers include the early influence of the East Asian summer monsoon, which is increasing humidity and introducing variable cloud cover or isolated showers that can suppress peak afternoon temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows modest day-to-day adjustments in timing of any frontal passage or diurnal heating, creating the tight spread between 27°C and 29°C. Historical June baselines for Seoul average near 27°C, with urban heat-island effects and model uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture providing the key variables traders are weighing ahead of final observational data on June 24.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions