Trader consensus assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Shanghai on April 26, driven by confirmed observational data from the official Shanghai Pudong International Airport weather station, managed by the China Meteorological Administration, which recorded a midday peak of 23°C amid partly cloudy conditions and southerly winds. Recent hourly readings show temperatures declining into the evening, aligning with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs capping highs at this level, consistent with late-April climatological norms averaging 19–21°C daily maximums. Realistic challenges would require a rare late-day convective heat burst from sudden clearing skies, though current atmospheric stability and reduced solar insolation render this unlikely; final CMA daily report will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 26?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 26?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$346,676 Vol.
$346,676 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$346,676 Vol.
$346,676 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
18°C or below
$8,792 Vol.
No
19°C
$10,748 Vol.
No
20°C
$17,193 Vol.
No
21°C
$19,258 Vol.
No
22°C
$41,815 Vol.
No
23°C
$73,101 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$32,398 Vol.
No
25°C
$76,013 Vol.
No
26°C
$24,443 Vol.
No
27°C
$21,555 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$21,359 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Shanghai on April 26, driven by confirmed observational data from the official Shanghai Pudong International Airport weather station, managed by the China Meteorological Administration, which recorded a midday peak of 23°C amid partly cloudy conditions and southerly winds. Recent hourly readings show temperatures declining into the evening, aligning with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs capping highs at this level, consistent with late-April climatological norms averaging 19–21°C daily maximums. Realistic challenges would require a rare late-day convective heat burst from sudden clearing skies, though current atmospheric stability and reduced solar insolation render this unlikely; final CMA daily report will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$346,676End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Shanghai on April 26, driven by confirmed observational data from the official Shanghai Pudong International Airport weather station, managed by the China Meteorological Administration, which recorded a midday peak of 23°C amid partly cloudy conditions and southerly winds. Recent hourly readings show temperatures declining into the evening, aligning with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs capping highs at this level, consistent with late-April climatological norms averaging 19–21°C daily maximums. Realistic challenges would require a rare late-day convective heat burst from sudden clearing skies, though current atmospheric stability and reduced solar insolation render this unlikely; final CMA daily report will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$346,676End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Shanghai on April 26, driven by confirmed observational data from the official Shanghai Pudong International Airport weather station, managed by the China Meteorological Administration, which recorded a midday peak of 23°C amid partly cloudy conditions and southerly winds. Recent hourly readings show temperatures declining into the evening, aligning with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs capping highs at this level, consistent with late-April climatological norms averaging 19–21°C daily maximums. Realistic challenges would require a rare late-day convective heat burst from sudden clearing skies, though current atmospheric stability and reduced solar insolation render this unlikely; final CMA daily report will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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