Singapore’s equatorial climate produces consistent daytime maxima near 31°C in June, driven by high solar insolation balanced by frequent convective activity and the developing southwest monsoon. On June 15, 2026, thundery showers and extensive cloud cover—forecast by the NEA—limited surface heating and kept the official resolution station (Changi Airport) at or near this climatological value, producing the market’s near-certain 31°C outcome. Historical June averages of 31°C highs with occasional 32–34°C spikes under clearer conditions reinforce this consensus. The only realistic path to a different resolution would be substantially reduced cloud cover or delayed rainfall allowing stronger afternoon insolation, pushing the Changi maximum to 32°C or higher before evening cooling sets in.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on June 15?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$51,641 Vol.
$51,641 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$51,641 Vol.
$51,641 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Singapore’s equatorial climate produces consistent daytime maxima near 31°C in June, driven by high solar insolation balanced by frequent convective activity and the developing southwest monsoon. On June 15, 2026, thundery showers and extensive cloud cover—forecast by the NEA—limited surface heating and kept the official resolution station (Changi Airport) at or near this climatological value, producing the market’s near-certain 31°C outcome. Historical June averages of 31°C highs with occasional 32–34°C spikes under clearer conditions reinforce this consensus. The only realistic path to a different resolution would be substantially reduced cloud cover or delayed rainfall allowing stronger afternoon insolation, pushing the Changi maximum to 32°C or higher before evening cooling sets in.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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