Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a daytime high near 24°C in Taipei on March 26, fueling trader sentiment with 38.5% implied probability for that outcome amid converging ECMWF and GFS model ensembles. This reflects typical late-March subtropical conditions, where seasonal highs average 23-25°C under the influence of a weakening winter monsoon and emerging high-pressure ridge, following a mid-week warm spell peaking at 26°C on March 23. Historical records from 2014-2023 show March 26 maxima rarely surpassing 27°C (under 10% frequency), while recent soundings reveal stable upper-air patterns limiting extremes, positioning 23-25°C as leading contenders with minimal risk of cooler anomalies below 22°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on March 26?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 26?
24°C 36%
23°C 19%
25°C 19%
26°C 16%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
19%
24°C
36%
25°C
19%
26°C
16%
27°C or higher
13%
24°C 36%
23°C 19%
25°C 19%
26°C 16%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
19%
24°C
36%
25°C
19%
26°C
16%
27°C or higher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a daytime high near 24°C in Taipei on March 26, fueling trader sentiment with 38.5% implied probability for that outcome amid converging ECMWF and GFS model ensembles. This reflects typical late-March subtropical conditions, where seasonal highs average 23-25°C under the influence of a weakening winter monsoon and emerging high-pressure ridge, following a mid-week warm spell peaking at 26°C on March 23. Historical records from 2014-2023 show March 26 maxima rarely surpassing 27°C (under 10% frequency), while recent soundings reveal stable upper-air patterns limiting extremes, positioning 23-25°C as leading contenders with minimal risk of cooler anomalies below 22°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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