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Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 15?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 15?

Apr 15

Apr 16

Apr 17

Apr 15

Apr 16

Apr 17

35°C or higher 53%

34°C 29%

33°C 15%

32°C 5%

Polymarket

$58,621 Vol.

35°C or higher 53%

34°C 29%

33°C 15%

32°C 5%

Polymarket

$58,621 Vol.

25°C or below

$12,989 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$1,980 Vol.

<1%

27°C

$3,918 Vol.

<1%

28°C

$4,412 Vol.

<1%

29°C

$4,241 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$4,048 Vol.

<1%

31°C

$6,974 Vol.

<1%

32°C

$3,689 Vol.

5%

33°C

$4,004 Vol.

15%

34°C

$5,423 Vol.

29%

35°C or higher

$6,956 Vol.

53%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 56% implied probability to Tel Aviv reaching 35°C or higher today, reflecting the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) guidance and international model ensembles forecasting highs of 32–35°C amid a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Light southerly winds are advecting dry, warm desert air from the Arabian Peninsula, with low humidity (around 30–40%) enabling strong daytime heating despite coastal moderation from sea breezes. Yesterday's 30°C high—well above April's 24°C climatological average—continued a mid-week warming trend, pushing odds toward upper outcomes while 34°C (28.5%) and 33°C (12.5%) capture model spread uncertainty. Resolution hinges on NOAA-observed peak at Ben Gurion Airport; real-time IMS updates expected through afternoon.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$58,621
End Date
Apr 15, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 56% implied probability to Tel Aviv reaching 35°C or higher today, reflecting the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) guidance and international model ensembles forecasting highs of 32–35°C amid a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Light southerly winds are advecting dry, warm desert air from the Arabian Peninsula, with low humidity (around 30–40%) enabling strong daytime heating despite coastal moderation from sea breezes. Yesterday's 30°C high—well above April's 24°C climatological average—continued a mid-week warming trend, pushing odds toward upper outcomes while 34°C (28.5%) and 33°C (12.5%) capture model spread uncertainty. Resolution hinges on NOAA-observed peak at Ben Gurion Airport; real-time IMS updates expected through afternoon.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$58,621
End Date
Apr 15, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 15?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "35°C or higher" at 53%, followed by "34°C" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 15?" has generated $58.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 15?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 15?" is "35°C or higher" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "34°C" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 15?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.