Current observational data and forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models show Tel Aviv peaking at 33°C today under clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds around 10-15 km/h, and typical late-August humidity levels near 60%. This aligns with regional climatology, where average August highs reach 31-32°C without anomalous heat or cooling influences like stronger sea breezes or unexpected cloud build-up. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for 33°C reflects real-time station readings and model stability, with minimal dispersion in ensemble runs. A stronger-than-expected marine layer or rapid afternoon cloud increase could realistically hold the maximum at 32°C or below, though current conditions make this low-probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 27?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 27?
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
$23,069 Vol.
$23,069 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
$23,069 Vol.
$23,069 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
29°C or below
$189 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$339 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$356 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,606 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$10,311 Vol.
100%
34°C
$4,182 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$2,077 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,447 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,556 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$656 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$395 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data and forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models show Tel Aviv peaking at 33°C today under clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds around 10-15 km/h, and typical late-August humidity levels near 60%. This aligns with regional climatology, where average August highs reach 31-32°C without anomalous heat or cooling influences like stronger sea breezes or unexpected cloud build-up. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for 33°C reflects real-time station readings and model stability, with minimal dispersion in ensemble runs. A stronger-than-expected marine layer or rapid afternoon cloud increase could realistically hold the maximum at 32°C or below, though current conditions make this low-probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$23,069End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data and forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models show Tel Aviv peaking at 33°C today under clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds around 10-15 km/h, and typical late-August humidity levels near 60%. This aligns with regional climatology, where average August highs reach 31-32°C without anomalous heat or cooling influences like stronger sea breezes or unexpected cloud build-up. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for 33°C reflects real-time station readings and model stability, with minimal dispersion in ensemble runs. A stronger-than-expected marine layer or rapid afternoon cloud increase could realistically hold the maximum at 32°C or below, though current conditions make this low-probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,069End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current observational data and forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models show Tel Aviv peaking at 33°C today under clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds around 10-15 km/h, and typical late-August humidity levels near 60%. This aligns with regional climatology, where average August highs reach 31-32°C without anomalous heat or cooling influences like stronger sea breezes or unexpected cloud build-up. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for 33°C reflects real-time station readings and model stability, with minimal dispersion in ensemble runs. A stronger-than-expected marine layer or rapid afternoon cloud increase could realistically hold the maximum at 32°C or below, though current conditions make this low-probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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