Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ECMWF runs as of August 26, indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 28 likely reaching 31–33°C under stable high-pressure conditions, westerly flow, and limited cloud cover, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C. Typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns feature strong diurnal heating moderated by sea breezes, with historical August maxima averaging near 30–32°C; current guidance shows no significant heatwave or marine layer intrusion to push extremes higher or lower. Model spread remains modest, though slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind timing could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Updated runs expected within 24 hours will refine resolution criteria for the official Israel Meteorological Service observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 28?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 28?
33°C 59%
32°C 23%
34°C 12%
31°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
23%
33°C
59%
34°C
12%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 59%
32°C 23%
34°C 12%
31°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
29°C or below
$123 Vol.
1%
30°C
$127 Vol.
1%
31°C
$93 Vol.
3%
32°C
$120 Vol.
23%
33°C
$294 Vol.
59%
34°C
$73 Vol.
12%
35°C
$115 Vol.
3%
36°C
$80 Vol.
1%
37°C
$223 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$139 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$139 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ECMWF runs as of August 26, indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 28 likely reaching 31–33°C under stable high-pressure conditions, westerly flow, and limited cloud cover, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C. Typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns feature strong diurnal heating moderated by sea breezes, with historical August maxima averaging near 30–32°C; current guidance shows no significant heatwave or marine layer intrusion to push extremes higher or lower. Model spread remains modest, though slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind timing could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Updated runs expected within 24 hours will refine resolution criteria for the official Israel Meteorological Service observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,459End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ECMWF runs as of August 26, indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 28 likely reaching 31–33°C under stable high-pressure conditions, westerly flow, and limited cloud cover, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C. Typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns feature strong diurnal heating moderated by sea breezes, with historical August maxima averaging near 30–32°C; current guidance shows no significant heatwave or marine layer intrusion to push extremes higher or lower. Model spread remains modest, though slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind timing could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Updated runs expected within 24 hours will refine resolution criteria for the official Israel Meteorological Service observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,459End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ECMWF runs as of August 26, indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 28 likely reaching 31–33°C under stable high-pressure conditions, westerly flow, and limited cloud cover, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C. Typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns feature strong diurnal heating moderated by sea breezes, with historical August maxima averaging near 30–32°C; current guidance shows no significant heatwave or marine layer intrusion to push extremes higher or lower. Model spread remains modest, though slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind timing could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Updated runs expected within 24 hours will refine resolution criteria for the official Israel Meteorological Service observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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