Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a stable late-summer pattern over Tel Aviv with highs of 31–32°C expected on August 26 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity near 60%. This aligns with the region's Mediterranean climate, where subtropical high pressure and sea-breeze effects typically moderate peak temperatures in late August near historical averages of 30–32°C. Trader consensus assigning the highest implied probability (59.5%) to 33°C likely reflects minor upward adjustments for urban heat-island effects or model spread, while lower odds for 34°C+ or sub-32°C outcomes reflect the limited potential for rapid intensification or cooling without significant synoptic changes. New model runs and official Israeli Meteorological Service updates in the next 48 hours will provide the clearest near-term signals for any shifts in this narrow range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 26?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 26?
33°C 60%
32°C 14%
34°C 14%
35°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
29°C or below
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
14%
33°C
60%
34°C
14%
35°C
12%
36°C
5%
37°C
4%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
1%
33°C 60%
32°C 14%
34°C 14%
35°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
29°C or below
$20 Vol.
4%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C
$62 Vol.
6%
32°C
$12 Vol.
14%
33°C
$398 Vol.
60%
34°C
$0 Vol.
14%
35°C
$57 Vol.
12%
36°C
$5 Vol.
5%
37°C
$5 Vol.
4%
38°C
$0 Vol.
4%
39°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a stable late-summer pattern over Tel Aviv with highs of 31–32°C expected on August 26 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity near 60%. This aligns with the region's Mediterranean climate, where subtropical high pressure and sea-breeze effects typically moderate peak temperatures in late August near historical averages of 30–32°C. Trader consensus assigning the highest implied probability (59.5%) to 33°C likely reflects minor upward adjustments for urban heat-island effects or model spread, while lower odds for 34°C+ or sub-32°C outcomes reflect the limited potential for rapid intensification or cooling without significant synoptic changes. New model runs and official Israeli Meteorological Service updates in the next 48 hours will provide the clearest near-term signals for any shifts in this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$564End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a stable late-summer pattern over Tel Aviv with highs of 31–32°C expected on August 26 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity near 60%. This aligns with the region's Mediterranean climate, where subtropical high pressure and sea-breeze effects typically moderate peak temperatures in late August near historical averages of 30–32°C. Trader consensus assigning the highest implied probability (59.5%) to 33°C likely reflects minor upward adjustments for urban heat-island effects or model spread, while lower odds for 34°C+ or sub-32°C outcomes reflect the limited potential for rapid intensification or cooling without significant synoptic changes. New model runs and official Israeli Meteorological Service updates in the next 48 hours will provide the clearest near-term signals for any shifts in this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$564End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a stable late-summer pattern over Tel Aviv with highs of 31–32°C expected on August 26 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity near 60%. This aligns with the region's Mediterranean climate, where subtropical high pressure and sea-breeze effects typically moderate peak temperatures in late August near historical averages of 30–32°C. Trader consensus assigning the highest implied probability (59.5%) to 33°C likely reflects minor upward adjustments for urban heat-island effects or model spread, while lower odds for 34°C+ or sub-32°C outcomes reflect the limited potential for rapid intensification or cooling without significant synoptic changes. New model runs and official Israeli Meteorological Service updates in the next 48 hours will provide the clearest near-term signals for any shifts in this narrow range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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