**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 26 reflects tight clustering around 24–26°C amid typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions.** Persistent subtropical high pressure, light westerly flow, and atmospheric subsidence limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near or slightly above the seasonal 23–25°C climatological average. Forecasts from regional models and the Israel Meteorological Service indicate mostly clear skies with moderate humidity, supporting a 25–27°C range, while sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer moisture introduce modest uncertainty that differentiates probabilities between 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C outcomes. Stronger or earlier marine air advection could push readings toward 22–23°C or lower, explaining the notable market weight on 20°C or below, whereas calm winds and higher humidity would favor the warmer side. No major synoptic shifts are anticipated before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 26?
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
20°C or below 47%
30°C or higher 47%
20°C or below
47%
21°C
31%
22°C
41%
23°C
41%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C
44%
27°C
7%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
47%
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
20°C or below 47%
30°C or higher 47%
20°C or below
47%
21°C
31%
22°C
41%
23°C
41%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C
44%
27°C
7%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 26 reflects tight clustering around 24–26°C amid typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions.** Persistent subtropical high pressure, light westerly flow, and atmospheric subsidence limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near or slightly above the seasonal 23–25°C climatological average. Forecasts from regional models and the Israel Meteorological Service indicate mostly clear skies with moderate humidity, supporting a 25–27°C range, while sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer moisture introduce modest uncertainty that differentiates probabilities between 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C outcomes. Stronger or earlier marine air advection could push readings toward 22–23°C or lower, explaining the notable market weight on 20°C or below, whereas calm winds and higher humidity would favor the warmer side. No major synoptic shifts are anticipated before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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