Latest forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather project Tel Aviv overnight lows near 25°C on August 25 under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. This consensus supports the closely matched market-implied odds near 26% for 23–25°C outcomes, while traders weigh the 48.5% chance of 18°C or below against potential model revisions from subtle shifts in sea-breeze strength or urban heat retention. Historical August minimums average 24–26°C with low variability, though brief cloud increases or wind changes could nudge readings by 1–2°C. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and NOAA global ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will clarify resolution risk around these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 25?
18°C or below 93%
28°C or higher 91%
19°C 48%
23°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
18°C or below
93%
19°C
48%
20°C
25%
21°C
25%
22°C
25%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
5%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
91%
18°C or below 93%
28°C or higher 91%
19°C 48%
23°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
18°C or below
$5 Vol.
93%
19°C
$5 Vol.
48%
20°C
$0 Vol.
25%
21°C
$0 Vol.
25%
22°C
$0 Vol.
25%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
5%
27°C
$4 Vol.
5%
28°C or higher
$5 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather project Tel Aviv overnight lows near 25°C on August 25 under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. This consensus supports the closely matched market-implied odds near 26% for 23–25°C outcomes, while traders weigh the 48.5% chance of 18°C or below against potential model revisions from subtle shifts in sea-breeze strength or urban heat retention. Historical August minimums average 24–26°C with low variability, though brief cloud increases or wind changes could nudge readings by 1–2°C. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and NOAA global ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will clarify resolution risk around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$19End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather project Tel Aviv overnight lows near 25°C on August 25 under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. This consensus supports the closely matched market-implied odds near 26% for 23–25°C outcomes, while traders weigh the 48.5% chance of 18°C or below against potential model revisions from subtle shifts in sea-breeze strength or urban heat retention. Historical August minimums average 24–26°C with low variability, though brief cloud increases or wind changes could nudge readings by 1–2°C. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and NOAA global ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will clarify resolution risk around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather project Tel Aviv overnight lows near 25°C on August 25 under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. This consensus supports the closely matched market-implied odds near 26% for 23–25°C outcomes, while traders weigh the 48.5% chance of 18°C or below against potential model revisions from subtle shifts in sea-breeze strength or urban heat retention. Historical August minimums average 24–26°C with low variability, though brief cloud increases or wind changes could nudge readings by 1–2°C. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and NOAA global ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will clarify resolution risk around these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions