Recent short-range forecast models indicate a typical early-summer pattern for Tel Aviv on June 23, with daytime maxima expected near 28–30 °C under clear skies and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological norms where June highs average 28–29 °C. Sea-breeze effects from the Mediterranean often cap afternoon peaks, while subtle variations in wind speed or cloud cover could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C across neighboring outcomes. With 29 °C, 30 °C, and 31 °C collectively holding over 85 % of market-implied probability, traders are pricing in the narrow uncertainty range inherent to 48-hour numerical weather predictions rather than any anomalous heat event. Updated model runs from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 23?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 23?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$39,299 Vol.
$39,299 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$39,299 Vol.
$39,299 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
26°C or below
$329 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,271 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,864 Vol.
No
29°C
$12,535 Vol.
No
30°C
$11,067 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$6,708 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,668 Vol.
No
33°C
$819 Vol.
No
34°C
$951 Vol.
No
35°C
$429 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$659 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models indicate a typical early-summer pattern for Tel Aviv on June 23, with daytime maxima expected near 28–30 °C under clear skies and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological norms where June highs average 28–29 °C. Sea-breeze effects from the Mediterranean often cap afternoon peaks, while subtle variations in wind speed or cloud cover could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C across neighboring outcomes. With 29 °C, 30 °C, and 31 °C collectively holding over 85 % of market-implied probability, traders are pricing in the narrow uncertainty range inherent to 48-hour numerical weather predictions rather than any anomalous heat event. Updated model runs from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service will provide the final calibration before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 21, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volume
$39,299End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 21, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models indicate a typical early-summer pattern for Tel Aviv on June 23, with daytime maxima expected near 28–30 °C under clear skies and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological norms where June highs average 28–29 °C. Sea-breeze effects from the Mediterranean often cap afternoon peaks, while subtle variations in wind speed or cloud cover could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C across neighboring outcomes. With 29 °C, 30 °C, and 31 °C collectively holding over 85 % of market-implied probability, traders are pricing in the narrow uncertainty range inherent to 48-hour numerical weather predictions rather than any anomalous heat event. Updated model runs from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service will provide the final calibration before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39,299End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 21, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent short-range forecast models indicate a typical early-summer pattern for Tel Aviv on June 23, with daytime maxima expected near 28–30 °C under clear skies and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological norms where June highs average 28–29 °C. Sea-breeze effects from the Mediterranean often cap afternoon peaks, while subtle variations in wind speed or cloud cover could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C across neighboring outcomes. With 29 °C, 30 °C, and 31 °C collectively holding over 85 % of market-implied probability, traders are pricing in the narrow uncertainty range inherent to 48-hour numerical weather predictions rather than any anomalous heat event. Updated model runs from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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