Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting numerical weather models project a daily maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv on June 3 under clear skies, light northwesterly flow, and negligible cloud cover, with real-time surface observations tracking directly toward this threshold. This alignment of model consensus and early-day readings underpins the market-implied 100% probability on 32°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of minimal deviation risk given the stable synoptic pattern. Minor shifts in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or localized urban heat effects remain the primary variables that could alter the recorded high before resolution, though current conditions indicate low likelihood of such changes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 3?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 3?
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$49,825 Vol.
$49,825 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$49,825 Vol.
$49,825 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
24°C or below
$468 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,289 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,594 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,789 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,717 Vol.
No
29°C
$7,073 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,702 Vol.
No
31°C
$8,015 Vol.
No
32°C
$7,860 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$7,655 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$4,663 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting numerical weather models project a daily maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv on June 3 under clear skies, light northwesterly flow, and negligible cloud cover, with real-time surface observations tracking directly toward this threshold. This alignment of model consensus and early-day readings underpins the market-implied 100% probability on 32°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of minimal deviation risk given the stable synoptic pattern. Minor shifts in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or localized urban heat effects remain the primary variables that could alter the recorded high before resolution, though current conditions indicate low likelihood of such changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$49,825End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting numerical weather models project a daily maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv on June 3 under clear skies, light northwesterly flow, and negligible cloud cover, with real-time surface observations tracking directly toward this threshold. This alignment of model consensus and early-day readings underpins the market-implied 100% probability on 32°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of minimal deviation risk given the stable synoptic pattern. Minor shifts in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or localized urban heat effects remain the primary variables that could alter the recorded high before resolution, though current conditions indicate low likelihood of such changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$49,825End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting numerical weather models project a daily maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv on June 3 under clear skies, light northwesterly flow, and negligible cloud cover, with real-time surface observations tracking directly toward this threshold. This alignment of model consensus and early-day readings underpins the market-implied 100% probability on 32°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of minimal deviation risk given the stable synoptic pattern. Minor shifts in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or localized urban heat effects remain the primary variables that could alter the recorded high before resolution, though current conditions indicate low likelihood of such changes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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