Current ensemble forecasts for coastal Tel Aviv on June 30 point to a maximum temperature in the 29–32°C range under stable high pressure, abundant sunshine, and moderate westerly sea breezes that limit afternoon heating. Model consensus clusters near 30°C, yet recent runs show modest spread from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind timing, and any thin high cloud that could reduce insolation by 1–2°C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 33°C, reflecting the possibility of slightly stronger offshore flow or warmer advection in the final model updates before resolution. Historical June climatology supports this tight distribution, with daily maxima rarely exceeding 33°C absent exceptional heat events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 30?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 30?
32°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$53,494 Vol.
$53,494 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$53,494 Vol.
$53,494 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
29°C or below
$8,419 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,992 Vol.
No
31°C
$13,758 Vol.
No
32°C
$15,153 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$6,544 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,613 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,318 Vol.
No
36°C
$767 Vol.
No
37°C
$634 Vol.
No
38°C
$502 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$793 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for coastal Tel Aviv on June 30 point to a maximum temperature in the 29–32°C range under stable high pressure, abundant sunshine, and moderate westerly sea breezes that limit afternoon heating. Model consensus clusters near 30°C, yet recent runs show modest spread from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind timing, and any thin high cloud that could reduce insolation by 1–2°C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 33°C, reflecting the possibility of slightly stronger offshore flow or warmer advection in the final model updates before resolution. Historical June climatology supports this tight distribution, with daily maxima rarely exceeding 33°C absent exceptional heat events.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$53,494End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for coastal Tel Aviv on June 30 point to a maximum temperature in the 29–32°C range under stable high pressure, abundant sunshine, and moderate westerly sea breezes that limit afternoon heating. Model consensus clusters near 30°C, yet recent runs show modest spread from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind timing, and any thin high cloud that could reduce insolation by 1–2°C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 33°C, reflecting the possibility of slightly stronger offshore flow or warmer advection in the final model updates before resolution. Historical June climatology supports this tight distribution, with daily maxima rarely exceeding 33°C absent exceptional heat events.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$53,494End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current ensemble forecasts for coastal Tel Aviv on June 30 point to a maximum temperature in the 29–32°C range under stable high pressure, abundant sunshine, and moderate westerly sea breezes that limit afternoon heating. Model consensus clusters near 30°C, yet recent runs show modest spread from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind timing, and any thin high cloud that could reduce insolation by 1–2°C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 33°C, reflecting the possibility of slightly stronger offshore flow or warmer advection in the final model updates before resolution. Historical June climatology supports this tight distribution, with daily maxima rarely exceeding 33°C absent exceptional heat events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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