Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Tel Aviv on May 10, driven by confirmed observational data from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS), which recorded peak readings of 27°C at official stations during early afternoon under clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions. This outcome matches pre-event IMS forecasts of 15–27°C daily highs and aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where average maximums range 25–27°C amid lengthening daylight and minimal cloud cover. While post-event revisions in quality-controlled hourly data could theoretically adjust the peak—such as instrument calibration shifting it to 26°C or an overlooked late microburst pushing to 28°C—current station records and model consensus provide overwhelming scientific support, rendering challenges highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 10?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 10?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$77,229 Vol.
$77,229 Vol.
May 10, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$77,229 Vol.
$77,229 Vol.
May 10, 2026
22°C or below
$3,886 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,539 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,624 Vol.
No
25°C
$14,512 Vol.
No
26°C
$10,815 Vol.
No
27°C
$11,794 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$6,766 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,930 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,508 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,232 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$3,621 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Tel Aviv on May 10, driven by confirmed observational data from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS), which recorded peak readings of 27°C at official stations during early afternoon under clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions. This outcome matches pre-event IMS forecasts of 15–27°C daily highs and aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where average maximums range 25–27°C amid lengthening daylight and minimal cloud cover. While post-event revisions in quality-controlled hourly data could theoretically adjust the peak—such as instrument calibration shifting it to 26°C or an overlooked late microburst pushing to 28°C—current station records and model consensus provide overwhelming scientific support, rendering challenges highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$77,229End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Tel Aviv on May 10, driven by confirmed observational data from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS), which recorded peak readings of 27°C at official stations during early afternoon under clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions. This outcome matches pre-event IMS forecasts of 15–27°C daily highs and aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where average maximums range 25–27°C amid lengthening daylight and minimal cloud cover. While post-event revisions in quality-controlled hourly data could theoretically adjust the peak—such as instrument calibration shifting it to 26°C or an overlooked late microburst pushing to 28°C—current station records and model consensus provide overwhelming scientific support, rendering challenges highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$77,229End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Tel Aviv on May 10, driven by confirmed observational data from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS), which recorded peak readings of 27°C at official stations during early afternoon under clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions. This outcome matches pre-event IMS forecasts of 15–27°C daily highs and aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where average maximums range 25–27°C amid lengthening daylight and minimal cloud cover. While post-event revisions in quality-controlled hourly data could theoretically adjust the peak—such as instrument calibration shifting it to 26°C or an overlooked late microburst pushing to 28°C—current station records and model consensus provide overwhelming scientific support, rendering challenges highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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