Current forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a daily maximum of 32–34°C in Tel Aviv on September 2 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northwest winds typical of early September in the eastern Mediterranean. This aligns with historical averages near 30–32°C for the period, with no significant heatwave, frontal systems, or anomalous warming signals in recent model runs. Trader emphasis on 33°C reflects the tight clustering of outputs around that threshold, while the smaller probability for 34°C accounts for minor model spread or localized urban heat effects. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service or ECMWF runs expected in the next 24 hours could refine these odds before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 2?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 2?
33°C 74%
32°C 26%
34°C 2%
31°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
26%
33°C
74%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 74%
32°C 26%
34°C 2%
31°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
28°C or below
$226 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$347 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$336 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$388 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,437 Vol.
26%
33°C
$4,501 Vol.
74%
34°C
$440 Vol.
2%
35°C
$345 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$312 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$244 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a daily maximum of 32–34°C in Tel Aviv on September 2 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northwest winds typical of early September in the eastern Mediterranean. This aligns with historical averages near 30–32°C for the period, with no significant heatwave, frontal systems, or anomalous warming signals in recent model runs. Trader emphasis on 33°C reflects the tight clustering of outputs around that threshold, while the smaller probability for 34°C accounts for minor model spread or localized urban heat effects. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service or ECMWF runs expected in the next 24 hours could refine these odds before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,825End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a daily maximum of 32–34°C in Tel Aviv on September 2 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northwest winds typical of early September in the eastern Mediterranean. This aligns with historical averages near 30–32°C for the period, with no significant heatwave, frontal systems, or anomalous warming signals in recent model runs. Trader emphasis on 33°C reflects the tight clustering of outputs around that threshold, while the smaller probability for 34°C accounts for minor model spread or localized urban heat effects. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service or ECMWF runs expected in the next 24 hours could refine these odds before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,825End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a daily maximum of 32–34°C in Tel Aviv on September 2 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northwest winds typical of early September in the eastern Mediterranean. This aligns with historical averages near 30–32°C for the period, with no significant heatwave, frontal systems, or anomalous warming signals in recent model runs. Trader emphasis on 33°C reflects the tight clustering of outputs around that threshold, while the smaller probability for 34°C accounts for minor model spread or localized urban heat effects. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service or ECMWF runs expected in the next 24 hours could refine these odds before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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