Observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport—the market's official resolution station—confirm a peak temperature of 18°C reached earlier today under a cool air mass and persistent cloud cover, as reported by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA). Southerly winds and scattered showers have limited solar insolation and daytime heating, aligning with JMA's latest model guidance projecting subdued maxima around 19°C but yielding lower actuals. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this observational data, with the sun setting soon minimizing upside risk. A late-day clearance of clouds could theoretically allow a brief spike, though current downward trends and historical late-afternoon patterns in similar synoptic setups make higher outcomes improbable. Final JMA tallies expected post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 24?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 24?
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$135,369 Vol.
$135,369 Vol.
Apr 24, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$135,369 Vol.
$135,369 Vol.
Apr 24, 2026
14°C or below
$12,241 Vol.
No
15°C
$13,222 Vol.
No
16°C
$12,921 Vol.
No
17°C
$18,599 Vol.
No
18°C
$23,385 Vol.
Yes
19°C
$11,639 Vol.
No
20°C
$13,768 Vol.
No
21°C
$8,922 Vol.
No
22°C
$9,792 Vol.
No
23°C
$7,046 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$3,833 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport—the market's official resolution station—confirm a peak temperature of 18°C reached earlier today under a cool air mass and persistent cloud cover, as reported by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA). Southerly winds and scattered showers have limited solar insolation and daytime heating, aligning with JMA's latest model guidance projecting subdued maxima around 19°C but yielding lower actuals. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this observational data, with the sun setting soon minimizing upside risk. A late-day clearance of clouds could theoretically allow a brief spike, though current downward trends and historical late-afternoon patterns in similar synoptic setups make higher outcomes improbable. Final JMA tallies expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$135,369End Date
Apr 24, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport—the market's official resolution station—confirm a peak temperature of 18°C reached earlier today under a cool air mass and persistent cloud cover, as reported by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA). Southerly winds and scattered showers have limited solar insolation and daytime heating, aligning with JMA's latest model guidance projecting subdued maxima around 19°C but yielding lower actuals. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this observational data, with the sun setting soon minimizing upside risk. A late-day clearance of clouds could theoretically allow a brief spike, though current downward trends and historical late-afternoon patterns in similar synoptic setups make higher outcomes improbable. Final JMA tallies expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$135,369End Date
Apr 24, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport—the market's official resolution station—confirm a peak temperature of 18°C reached earlier today under a cool air mass and persistent cloud cover, as reported by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA). Southerly winds and scattered showers have limited solar insolation and daytime heating, aligning with JMA's latest model guidance projecting subdued maxima around 19°C but yielding lower actuals. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this observational data, with the sun setting soon minimizing upside risk. A late-day clearance of clouds could theoretically allow a brief spike, though current downward trends and historical late-afternoon patterns in similar synoptic setups make higher outcomes improbable. Final JMA tallies expected post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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