MetService's latest forecast update, issued April 3, projects a daytime high of 20°C at Wellington International Airport on April 6 under partly cloudy skies with northeasterlies developing, anchoring trader sentiment toward the closely matched 20°C (24%) and 21°C (25.5%) outcomes. This reflects GFS and ECMWF model ensemble consensus for mild autumn conditions amid a high-pressure ridge, warmer than historical April averages of 16-17°C driven by northerly flow. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability impacting solar insolation—thicker clouds capping at 20°C, clearer breaks enabling 21°C—and subtle shifts in onshore wind strength. Monitor daily MetService refinements and fresh model runs through April 5 for potential adjustments ahead of official airport observations resolving the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on April 6?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 6?
21°C 28%
20°C 25%
19°C 19%
22°C 11%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
6%
19°C
19%
20°C
25%
21°C
28%
22°C
11%
23°C or higher
8%
21°C 28%
20°C 25%
19°C 19%
22°C 11%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
6%
19°C
19%
20°C
25%
21°C
28%
22°C
11%
23°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast update, issued April 3, projects a daytime high of 20°C at Wellington International Airport on April 6 under partly cloudy skies with northeasterlies developing, anchoring trader sentiment toward the closely matched 20°C (24%) and 21°C (25.5%) outcomes. This reflects GFS and ECMWF model ensemble consensus for mild autumn conditions amid a high-pressure ridge, warmer than historical April averages of 16-17°C driven by northerly flow. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability impacting solar insolation—thicker clouds capping at 20°C, clearer breaks enabling 21°C—and subtle shifts in onshore wind strength. Monitor daily MetService refinements and fresh model runs through April 5 for potential adjustments ahead of official airport observations resolving the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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