MetService's latest observations from the Kelburn Automatic Weather Station, the official source for Wellington Central temperatures, show afternoon readings reaching 15.5°C amid fine conditions transitioning to increasing cloud cover, with moderate northerlies (15 km/h gusting to 28 km/h) limiting further warming as sunset approaches at 5:28pm. Nearby Wellington International Airport logged a high of 16.3°C earlier, consistent with its documented 0.8°C warm bias relative to Kelburn, aligning trader consensus on a 16°C maximum—near May climatological norms of 15-16°C under high-pressure influence. Realistic challenges include unexpected evening clearing sparking a late surge to 17°C or final verified data confirming a 15°C peak, with resolution pending MetService's daily summary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on May 3?
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$69,831 Vol.
$69,831 Vol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$69,831 Vol.
$69,831 Vol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
MetService's latest observations from the Kelburn Automatic Weather Station, the official source for Wellington Central temperatures, show afternoon readings reaching 15.5°C amid fine conditions transitioning to increasing cloud cover, with moderate northerlies (15 km/h gusting to 28 km/h) limiting further warming as sunset approaches at 5:28pm. Nearby Wellington International Airport logged a high of 16.3°C earlier, consistent with its documented 0.8°C warm bias relative to Kelburn, aligning trader consensus on a 16°C maximum—near May climatological norms of 15-16°C under high-pressure influence. Realistic challenges include unexpected evening clearing sparking a late surge to 17°C or final verified data confirming a 15°C peak, with resolution pending MetService's daily summary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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