Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and AccuWeather indicate a daytime maximum near 29–30°C in Wuhan on June 18 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow. This pattern limits strong surface heating while allowing sufficient insolation for typical early-summer warming in the Yangtze River valley’s humid subtropical climate. Model consensus shows no anomalous heat advection or clear-sky conditions that would push readings above 31°C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C (44%) followed by 30°C and 28°C. Latest observational trends and short-range guidance reinforce this narrow range, with only modest uncertainty from possible afternoon convection that could cap the peak slightly lower.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 18?
30°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$84,091 Vol.
$84,091 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$84,091 Vol.
$84,091 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and AccuWeather indicate a daytime maximum near 29–30°C in Wuhan on June 18 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow. This pattern limits strong surface heating while allowing sufficient insolation for typical early-summer warming in the Yangtze River valley’s humid subtropical climate. Model consensus shows no anomalous heat advection or clear-sky conditions that would push readings above 31°C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C (44%) followed by 30°C and 28°C. Latest observational trends and short-range guidance reinforce this narrow range, with only modest uncertainty from possible afternoon convection that could cap the peak slightly lower.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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