The open seat in Kentucky’s 6th congressional district, following incumbent Andy Barr’s decision to seek a U.S. Senate nomination, favors the Republican nominee in a district with a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+7 where Donald Trump carried the area by double digits in the prior presidential contest. Ralph Alvarado secured the GOP nomination in the May 19 primary, while Zach Dembo won the Democratic primary, setting up a November general election matchup. The district’s mix of suburban and rural counties in central Kentucky, including Lexington, has consistently delivered Republican majorities in recent House races, supporting trader consensus around a solid but not guaranteed Republican advantage. No major late-breaking developments have altered the fundamentals since the primaries concluded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$22,892 交易量
$22,892 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
73%
民主党
24%
$22,892 交易量
$22,892 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$9,002 交易量
73%
民主党
$13,890 交易量
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Kentucky’s 6th congressional district, following incumbent Andy Barr’s decision to seek a U.S. Senate nomination, favors the Republican nominee in a district with a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+7 where Donald Trump carried the area by double digits in the prior presidential contest. Ralph Alvarado secured the GOP nomination in the May 19 primary, while Zach Dembo won the Democratic primary, setting up a November general election matchup. The district’s mix of suburban and rural counties in central Kentucky, including Lexington, has consistently delivered Republican majorities in recent House races, supporting trader consensus around a solid but not guaranteed Republican advantage. No major late-breaking developments have altered the fundamentals since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$22,892结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Kentucky’s 6th congressional district, following incumbent Andy Barr’s decision to seek a U.S. Senate nomination, favors the Republican nominee in a district with a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+7 where Donald Trump carried the area by double digits in the prior presidential contest. Ralph Alvarado secured the GOP nomination in the May 19 primary, while Zach Dembo won the Democratic primary, setting up a November general election matchup. The district’s mix of suburban and rural counties in central Kentucky, including Lexington, has consistently delivered Republican majorities in recent House races, supporting trader consensus around a solid but not guaranteed Republican advantage. No major late-breaking developments have altered the fundamentals since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$22,892结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Kentucky’s 6th congressional district, following incumbent Andy Barr’s decision to seek a U.S. Senate nomination, favors the Republican nominee in a district with a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+7 where Donald Trump carried the area by double digits in the prior presidential contest. Ralph Alvarado secured the GOP nomination in the May 19 primary, while Zach Dembo won the Democratic primary, setting up a November general election matchup. The district’s mix of suburban and rural counties in central Kentucky, including Lexington, has consistently delivered Republican majorities in recent House races, supporting trader consensus around a solid but not guaranteed Republican advantage. No major late-breaking developments have altered the fundamentals since the primaries concluded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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