Recent observations from National Weather Service stations in Houston placed the August 28 low near 78°F, slightly above the 1991–2020 normal of 76°F amid persistent high humidity and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that limited overnight radiative cooling. Elevated dew points near 75°F and lingering cloud cover reduced the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping surface temperatures from falling into the mid-70s as some models had projected. Market-implied odds remain tightly balanced between the 76–77°F and 78–79°F bins because traders weigh minor variations in station siting, urban heat-island effects, and the precise timing of any clearing skies. Upcoming official climatological summaries will resolve the market once all hourly data are quality-controlled.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Houston on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Houston on August 28?
74-75°F 4%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$984 Vol.
$984 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
50%
78-79°F
-
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 4%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$984 Vol.
$984 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
67°F or below
$170 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$77 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$145 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$57 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$54 Vol.
4%
76-77°F
$20 Vol.
50%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
-
80-81°F
$139 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$102 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$107 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$113 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations from National Weather Service stations in Houston placed the August 28 low near 78°F, slightly above the 1991–2020 normal of 76°F amid persistent high humidity and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that limited overnight radiative cooling. Elevated dew points near 75°F and lingering cloud cover reduced the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping surface temperatures from falling into the mid-70s as some models had projected. Market-implied odds remain tightly balanced between the 76–77°F and 78–79°F bins because traders weigh minor variations in station siting, urban heat-island effects, and the precise timing of any clearing skies. Upcoming official climatological summaries will resolve the market once all hourly data are quality-controlled.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$984End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations from National Weather Service stations in Houston placed the August 28 low near 78°F, slightly above the 1991–2020 normal of 76°F amid persistent high humidity and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that limited overnight radiative cooling. Elevated dew points near 75°F and lingering cloud cover reduced the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping surface temperatures from falling into the mid-70s as some models had projected. Market-implied odds remain tightly balanced between the 76–77°F and 78–79°F bins because traders weigh minor variations in station siting, urban heat-island effects, and the precise timing of any clearing skies. Upcoming official climatological summaries will resolve the market once all hourly data are quality-controlled.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$984End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observations from National Weather Service stations in Houston placed the August 28 low near 78°F, slightly above the 1991–2020 normal of 76°F amid persistent high humidity and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that limited overnight radiative cooling. Elevated dew points near 75°F and lingering cloud cover reduced the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping surface temperatures from falling into the mid-70s as some models had projected. Market-implied odds remain tightly balanced between the 76–77°F and 78–79°F bins because traders weigh minor variations in station siting, urban heat-island effects, and the precise timing of any clearing skies. Upcoming official climatological summaries will resolve the market once all hourly data are quality-controlled.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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