Persistent summer heat and elevated humidity from a stationary front over southern Korea are sustaining high perceived temperatures near 33°C, supporting trader emphasis on 31–33°C outcomes for Busan’s August 31 maximum. Recent model consensus from sources including WeatherBug and PredictWind indicates daytime highs of 28–30°C amid 50–70% shower chances and southwesterly flow, with cloud cover and rainfall expected to limit peaks. Heatwave advisories remain active regionally, and historical late-August baselines for Busan hover near 29–31°C, yet model uncertainty around frontal timing and urban heat-island effects keeps implied probabilities elevated for the upper end of the 28–34°C range ahead of final forecast updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 31?
32°C 43%
33°C 25%
31°C 22%
28°C 7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
6%
30°C
6%
31°C
22%
32°C
43%
33°C
25%
34°C
5%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 43%
33°C 25%
31°C 22%
28°C 7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
6%
30°C
6%
31°C
22%
32°C
43%
33°C
25%
34°C
5%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent summer heat and elevated humidity from a stationary front over southern Korea are sustaining high perceived temperatures near 33°C, supporting trader emphasis on 31–33°C outcomes for Busan’s August 31 maximum. Recent model consensus from sources including WeatherBug and PredictWind indicates daytime highs of 28–30°C amid 50–70% shower chances and southwesterly flow, with cloud cover and rainfall expected to limit peaks. Heatwave advisories remain active regionally, and historical late-August baselines for Busan hover near 29–31°C, yet model uncertainty around frontal timing and urban heat-island effects keeps implied probabilities elevated for the upper end of the 28–34°C range ahead of final forecast updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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