Consistent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional meteorological centers indicate overnight lows in Jeddah of 28–29°C on September 23 under clear skies and light winds, supporting the market's emphasis on 29–30°C outcomes. Persistent high-pressure patterns and the moderating influence of the adjacent Red Sea have maintained elevated minimum temperatures above September climatological averages near 26–28°C, with minimal cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight. Recent model runs show little disagreement on this range, though slight variations in humidity or wind could shift the precise low by 1–2°C. Final resolution will hinge on official observations from Jeddah stations, with traders monitoring any late adjustments in steering patterns or local conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Jeddah on September 23?
30°C 50%
24°C or below 45%
32°C 34%
26°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
24°C or below
45%
25°C
25%
26°C
30%
27°C
12%
28°C
20%
29°C
28%
30°C
43%
31°C
22%
32°C
34%
33°C
13%
34°C or higher
11%
30°C 50%
24°C or below 45%
32°C 34%
26°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
24°C or below
$100 Vol.
45%
25°C
$40 Vol.
25%
26°C
$25 Vol.
30%
27°C
$0 Vol.
12%
28°C
$0 Vol.
20%
29°C
$0 Vol.
28%
30°C
$21 Vol.
43%
31°C
$0 Vol.
22%
32°C
$50 Vol.
34%
33°C
$50 Vol.
13%
34°C or higher
$100 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consistent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional meteorological centers indicate overnight lows in Jeddah of 28–29°C on September 23 under clear skies and light winds, supporting the market's emphasis on 29–30°C outcomes. Persistent high-pressure patterns and the moderating influence of the adjacent Red Sea have maintained elevated minimum temperatures above September climatological averages near 26–28°C, with minimal cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight. Recent model runs show little disagreement on this range, though slight variations in humidity or wind could shift the precise low by 1–2°C. Final resolution will hinge on official observations from Jeddah stations, with traders monitoring any late adjustments in steering patterns or local conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$386End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consistent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional meteorological centers indicate overnight lows in Jeddah of 28–29°C on September 23 under clear skies and light winds, supporting the market's emphasis on 29–30°C outcomes. Persistent high-pressure patterns and the moderating influence of the adjacent Red Sea have maintained elevated minimum temperatures above September climatological averages near 26–28°C, with minimal cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight. Recent model runs show little disagreement on this range, though slight variations in humidity or wind could shift the precise low by 1–2°C. Final resolution will hinge on official observations from Jeddah stations, with traders monitoring any late adjustments in steering patterns or local conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$386End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Consistent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional meteorological centers indicate overnight lows in Jeddah of 28–29°C on September 23 under clear skies and light winds, supporting the market's emphasis on 29–30°C outcomes. Persistent high-pressure patterns and the moderating influence of the adjacent Red Sea have maintained elevated minimum temperatures above September climatological averages near 26–28°C, with minimal cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight. Recent model runs show little disagreement on this range, though slight variations in humidity or wind could shift the precise low by 1–2°C. Final resolution will hinge on official observations from Jeddah stations, with traders monitoring any late adjustments in steering patterns or local conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions