Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models indicate Karachi's minimum temperature on September 16 will likely hover near 27–28°C amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, driven by a westward-moving monsoon low over the Bay of Bengal. This system has already triggered scattered thunderstorms and elevated humidity, which can suppress nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows from dropping sharply, while variable cloud cover introduces uncertainty in exact minimum readings. Trader sentiment reflects this balance, with near-even odds on extremes (23°C or below versus 33°C or higher) highlighting model divergence on whether enhanced moisture and potential rain will moderate temperatures below seasonal norms or allow warmer advection to prevail. Upcoming updated model runs and PMD briefings will clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing critical for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on September 16?
23°C or below 97%
33°C or higher 96%
24°C 39%
25°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
97%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
22%
28°C
22%
29°C
21%
30°C
8%
31°C
39%
32°C
39%
33°C or higher
96%
23°C or below 97%
33°C or higher 96%
24°C 39%
25°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
97%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$6 Vol.
39%
26°C
$0 Vol.
39%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$0 Vol.
22%
29°C
$0 Vol.
21%
30°C
$0 Vol.
8%
31°C
$0 Vol.
39%
32°C
$0 Vol.
39%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models indicate Karachi's minimum temperature on September 16 will likely hover near 27–28°C amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, driven by a westward-moving monsoon low over the Bay of Bengal. This system has already triggered scattered thunderstorms and elevated humidity, which can suppress nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows from dropping sharply, while variable cloud cover introduces uncertainty in exact minimum readings. Trader sentiment reflects this balance, with near-even odds on extremes (23°C or below versus 33°C or higher) highlighting model divergence on whether enhanced moisture and potential rain will moderate temperatures below seasonal norms or allow warmer advection to prevail. Upcoming updated model runs and PMD briefings will clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing critical for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$6End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models indicate Karachi's minimum temperature on September 16 will likely hover near 27–28°C amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, driven by a westward-moving monsoon low over the Bay of Bengal. This system has already triggered scattered thunderstorms and elevated humidity, which can suppress nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows from dropping sharply, while variable cloud cover introduces uncertainty in exact minimum readings. Trader sentiment reflects this balance, with near-even odds on extremes (23°C or below versus 33°C or higher) highlighting model divergence on whether enhanced moisture and potential rain will moderate temperatures below seasonal norms or allow warmer advection to prevail. Upcoming updated model runs and PMD briefings will clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing critical for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models indicate Karachi's minimum temperature on September 16 will likely hover near 27–28°C amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, driven by a westward-moving monsoon low over the Bay of Bengal. This system has already triggered scattered thunderstorms and elevated humidity, which can suppress nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows from dropping sharply, while variable cloud cover introduces uncertainty in exact minimum readings. Trader sentiment reflects this balance, with near-even odds on extremes (23°C or below versus 33°C or higher) highlighting model divergence on whether enhanced moisture and potential rain will moderate temperatures below seasonal norms or allow warmer advection to prevail. Upcoming updated model runs and PMD briefings will clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing critical for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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