Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 27–28°C for Karachi on September 24, driven by persistent hot, humid conditions from a circulation over the Arabian Sea that has weakened typical southwesterly sea breezes. This setup favors overnight lows in the upper 20s Celsius amid mostly clear skies and light westerly winds, consistent with late-monsoon patterns where daytime maxima remain 35–38°C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched odds around 28°C versus higher or lower thresholds underscores uncertainty in short-term model runs and potential minor shifts from humidity or wind variations, with updated PMD guidance and observational data releases expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on September 24?
22°C or below 87%
32°C or higher 80%
28°C 46%
23°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
22°C or below
87%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
21%
27°C
22%
28°C
46%
29°C
8%
30°C
39%
31°C
39%
32°C or higher
80%
22°C or below 87%
32°C or higher 80%
28°C 46%
23°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
87%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C
$0 Vol.
21%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$16 Vol.
46%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C
$0 Vol.
39%
31°C
$0 Vol.
39%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 27–28°C for Karachi on September 24, driven by persistent hot, humid conditions from a circulation over the Arabian Sea that has weakened typical southwesterly sea breezes. This setup favors overnight lows in the upper 20s Celsius amid mostly clear skies and light westerly winds, consistent with late-monsoon patterns where daytime maxima remain 35–38°C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched odds around 28°C versus higher or lower thresholds underscores uncertainty in short-term model runs and potential minor shifts from humidity or wind variations, with updated PMD guidance and observational data releases expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$16End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 27–28°C for Karachi on September 24, driven by persistent hot, humid conditions from a circulation over the Arabian Sea that has weakened typical southwesterly sea breezes. This setup favors overnight lows in the upper 20s Celsius amid mostly clear skies and light westerly winds, consistent with late-monsoon patterns where daytime maxima remain 35–38°C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched odds around 28°C versus higher or lower thresholds underscores uncertainty in short-term model runs and potential minor shifts from humidity or wind variations, with updated PMD guidance and observational data releases expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 27–28°C for Karachi on September 24, driven by persistent hot, humid conditions from a circulation over the Arabian Sea that has weakened typical southwesterly sea breezes. This setup favors overnight lows in the upper 20s Celsius amid mostly clear skies and light westerly winds, consistent with late-monsoon patterns where daytime maxima remain 35–38°C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched odds around 28°C versus higher or lower thresholds underscores uncertainty in short-term model runs and potential minor shifts from humidity or wind variations, with updated PMD guidance and observational data releases expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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