Trader consensus on a 26°C minimum temperature in Lucknow on August 21 reflects strong alignment in India Meteorological Department forecasts and observational data during peak southwest monsoon conditions. Typical August lows hover near 26–28°C amid high humidity and frequent cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling, with recent model runs and station reports converging on this threshold rather than cooler or warmer extremes. Historical climatology supports this range, as monsoon moisture suppresses sharp temperature drops. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include unexpected clear-sky periods enhancing radiative cooling below 26°C or delayed rainfall allowing greater daytime heating to influence the daily minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on August 21?
26°C 100.0%
24°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
$2,804 Vol.
$2,804 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
24°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
$2,804 Vol.
$2,804 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
$343 Vol.
No
23°C
$269 Vol.
No
24°C
$233 Vol.
No
25°C
$100 Vol.
No
26°C
$346 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$196 Vol.
No
28°C
$701 Vol.
No
29°C
$155 Vol.
No
30°C
$150 Vol.
No
31°C
$105 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$205 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 26°C minimum temperature in Lucknow on August 21 reflects strong alignment in India Meteorological Department forecasts and observational data during peak southwest monsoon conditions. Typical August lows hover near 26–28°C amid high humidity and frequent cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling, with recent model runs and station reports converging on this threshold rather than cooler or warmer extremes. Historical climatology supports this range, as monsoon moisture suppresses sharp temperature drops. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include unexpected clear-sky periods enhancing radiative cooling below 26°C or delayed rainfall allowing greater daytime heating to influence the daily minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Volume
$2,804End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 26°C minimum temperature in Lucknow on August 21 reflects strong alignment in India Meteorological Department forecasts and observational data during peak southwest monsoon conditions. Typical August lows hover near 26–28°C amid high humidity and frequent cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling, with recent model runs and station reports converging on this threshold rather than cooler or warmer extremes. Historical climatology supports this range, as monsoon moisture suppresses sharp temperature drops. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include unexpected clear-sky periods enhancing radiative cooling below 26°C or delayed rainfall allowing greater daytime heating to influence the daily minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,804End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on a 26°C minimum temperature in Lucknow on August 21 reflects strong alignment in India Meteorological Department forecasts and observational data during peak southwest monsoon conditions. Typical August lows hover near 26–28°C amid high humidity and frequent cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling, with recent model runs and station reports converging on this threshold rather than cooler or warmer extremes. Historical climatology supports this range, as monsoon moisture suppresses sharp temperature drops. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include unexpected clear-sky periods enhancing radiative cooling below 26°C or delayed rainfall allowing greater daytime heating to influence the daily minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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