Persistent monsoon trough activity and widespread cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers keeping overnight lows in Lucknow near 26–28 °C for August 28. Recent light showers and high relative humidity (80–95 %) have narrowed the diurnal temperature range by limiting radiative cooling, while light easterly winds offer little additional mixing. Official forecasts show overnight minima clustered between 26 °C and 28 °C, with model spread arising from uncertainty in the timing and intensity of any late-day convection. The near-even market pricing between 26 °C and 27 °C reflects this narrow forecast envelope and the sensitivity of the minimum to even modest changes in cloud persistence or rainfall amount during the final 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on August 28?
26°C 49%
27°C 46%
28°C 36%
23°C 36%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
3%
23°C
36%
24°C
36%
25°C
35%
26°C
49%
27°C
46%
28°C
36%
29°C
34%
30°C
30%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
17%
26°C 49%
27°C 46%
28°C 36%
23°C 36%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
$22 Vol.
3%
23°C
$0 Vol.
36%
24°C
$0 Vol.
36%
25°C
$0 Vol.
35%
26°C
$0 Vol.
49%
27°C
$0 Vol.
46%
28°C
$0 Vol.
36%
29°C
$22 Vol.
34%
30°C
$22 Vol.
30%
31°C
$22 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$22 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon trough activity and widespread cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers keeping overnight lows in Lucknow near 26–28 °C for August 28. Recent light showers and high relative humidity (80–95 %) have narrowed the diurnal temperature range by limiting radiative cooling, while light easterly winds offer little additional mixing. Official forecasts show overnight minima clustered between 26 °C and 28 °C, with model spread arising from uncertainty in the timing and intensity of any late-day convection. The near-even market pricing between 26 °C and 27 °C reflects this narrow forecast envelope and the sensitivity of the minimum to even modest changes in cloud persistence or rainfall amount during the final 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$109End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon trough activity and widespread cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers keeping overnight lows in Lucknow near 26–28 °C for August 28. Recent light showers and high relative humidity (80–95 %) have narrowed the diurnal temperature range by limiting radiative cooling, while light easterly winds offer little additional mixing. Official forecasts show overnight minima clustered between 26 °C and 28 °C, with model spread arising from uncertainty in the timing and intensity of any late-day convection. The near-even market pricing between 26 °C and 27 °C reflects this narrow forecast envelope and the sensitivity of the minimum to even modest changes in cloud persistence or rainfall amount during the final 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$109End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon trough activity and widespread cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers keeping overnight lows in Lucknow near 26–28 °C for August 28. Recent light showers and high relative humidity (80–95 %) have narrowed the diurnal temperature range by limiting radiative cooling, while light easterly winds offer little additional mixing. Official forecasts show overnight minima clustered between 26 °C and 28 °C, with model spread arising from uncertainty in the timing and intensity of any late-day convection. The near-even market pricing between 26 °C and 27 °C reflects this narrow forecast envelope and the sensitivity of the minimum to even modest changes in cloud persistence or rainfall amount during the final 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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