Recent monsoon trough positioning and widespread cloud cover with scattered thundershowers have kept Lucknow daytime maxima near or slightly below normal, driving trader consensus toward 31–33°C peaks on August 28. Persistent high humidity and reduced insolation from overcast skies limit surface heating, while variable rainfall timing creates uncertainty around the exact daily high. Official IMD guidance and ensemble model runs emphasize continued rain chances that could cap temperatures at 31–32°C or allow brief clearing to reach 33–34°C. Updated short-range forecasts and 24-hour observational data from Lucknow airport will refine resolution odds ahead of the August 28 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 28?
32°C 34%
33°C 31%
31°C 19%
34°C 11%
26°C or below
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
5%
29°C
8%
30°C
11%
31°C
19%
32°C
34%
33°C
31%
34°C
11%
35°C
8%
36°C or higher
9%
32°C 34%
33°C 31%
31°C 19%
34°C 11%
26°C or below
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
5%
29°C
8%
30°C
11%
31°C
19%
32°C
34%
33°C
31%
34°C
11%
35°C
8%
36°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon trough positioning and widespread cloud cover with scattered thundershowers have kept Lucknow daytime maxima near or slightly below normal, driving trader consensus toward 31–33°C peaks on August 28. Persistent high humidity and reduced insolation from overcast skies limit surface heating, while variable rainfall timing creates uncertainty around the exact daily high. Official IMD guidance and ensemble model runs emphasize continued rain chances that could cap temperatures at 31–32°C or allow brief clearing to reach 33–34°C. Updated short-range forecasts and 24-hour observational data from Lucknow airport will refine resolution odds ahead of the August 28 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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