Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover with thundershowers are the main factors moderating daytime heating in Lucknow, positioning 31–32°C as the leading market outcomes for the August 26 maximum. Official IMD guidance and multiple forecast models indicate generally cloudy skies with rain spells expected on the 26th, consistent with typical late-August patterns where humidity above 70% and precipitation limit highs below seasonal averages near 33–34°C. Recent observations show maxima of 33–35°C earlier in the week giving way to increased moisture and convection, reducing the likelihood of brief clearing that could push readings to 33°C or higher. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine intensity and timing ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 26?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 26?
32°C 43%
31°C 32%
33°C 20%
30°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
6%
30°C
9%
31°C
32%
32°C
43%
33°C
20%
34°C
10%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 43%
31°C 32%
33°C 20%
30°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$12 Vol.
6%
30°C
$6 Vol.
9%
31°C
$10 Vol.
32%
32°C
$41 Vol.
43%
33°C
$0 Vol.
20%
34°C
$11 Vol.
10%
35°C
$3 Vol.
3%
36°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover with thundershowers are the main factors moderating daytime heating in Lucknow, positioning 31–32°C as the leading market outcomes for the August 26 maximum. Official IMD guidance and multiple forecast models indicate generally cloudy skies with rain spells expected on the 26th, consistent with typical late-August patterns where humidity above 70% and precipitation limit highs below seasonal averages near 33–34°C. Recent observations show maxima of 33–35°C earlier in the week giving way to increased moisture and convection, reducing the likelihood of brief clearing that could push readings to 33°C or higher. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine intensity and timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$83End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover with thundershowers are the main factors moderating daytime heating in Lucknow, positioning 31–32°C as the leading market outcomes for the August 26 maximum. Official IMD guidance and multiple forecast models indicate generally cloudy skies with rain spells expected on the 26th, consistent with typical late-August patterns where humidity above 70% and precipitation limit highs below seasonal averages near 33–34°C. Recent observations show maxima of 33–35°C earlier in the week giving way to increased moisture and convection, reducing the likelihood of brief clearing that could push readings to 33°C or higher. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine intensity and timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$83End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover with thundershowers are the main factors moderating daytime heating in Lucknow, positioning 31–32°C as the leading market outcomes for the August 26 maximum. Official IMD guidance and multiple forecast models indicate generally cloudy skies with rain spells expected on the 26th, consistent with typical late-August patterns where humidity above 70% and precipitation limit highs below seasonal averages near 33–34°C. Recent observations show maxima of 33–35°C earlier in the week giving way to increased moisture and convection, reducing the likelihood of brief clearing that could push readings to 33°C or higher. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine intensity and timing ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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