Persistent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including an active trough and spells of rain or thundershowers, is the primary factor moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow for August 27. Official IMD guidance and multiple forecast models indicate generally cloudy to overcast skies with 80-100% precipitation probability, supporting daily highs of 31-33°C through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling—aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities at 31°C (38.5%) and 32°C (27.5%). Recent observations show maximums near or slightly below normal amid widespread showers, consistent with August climatology of 33-34°C averages. Updated model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these trader-assessed odds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 27?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 27?
31°C 39%
32°C 28%
30°C 20%
29°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
20%
31°C
39%
32°C
28%
33°C
7%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
32°C 28%
30°C 20%
29°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
$339 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$80 Vol.
1%
27°C
$55 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
7%
30°C
$3 Vol.
20%
31°C
$94 Vol.
39%
32°C
$44 Vol.
28%
33°C
$42 Vol.
7%
34°C
$0 Vol.
4%
35°C or higher
$83 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including an active trough and spells of rain or thundershowers, is the primary factor moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow for August 27. Official IMD guidance and multiple forecast models indicate generally cloudy to overcast skies with 80-100% precipitation probability, supporting daily highs of 31-33°C through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling—aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities at 31°C (38.5%) and 32°C (27.5%). Recent observations show maximums near or slightly below normal amid widespread showers, consistent with August climatology of 33-34°C averages. Updated model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these trader-assessed odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$740End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including an active trough and spells of rain or thundershowers, is the primary factor moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow for August 27. Official IMD guidance and multiple forecast models indicate generally cloudy to overcast skies with 80-100% precipitation probability, supporting daily highs of 31-33°C through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling—aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities at 31°C (38.5%) and 32°C (27.5%). Recent observations show maximums near or slightly below normal amid widespread showers, consistent with August climatology of 33-34°C averages. Updated model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these trader-assessed odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$740End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including an active trough and spells of rain or thundershowers, is the primary factor moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow for August 27. Official IMD guidance and multiple forecast models indicate generally cloudy to overcast skies with 80-100% precipitation probability, supporting daily highs of 31-33°C through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling—aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities at 31°C (38.5%) and 32°C (27.5%). Recent observations show maximums near or slightly below normal amid widespread showers, consistent with August climatology of 33-34°C averages. Updated model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these trader-assessed odds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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