The dominant market consensus on a 72-73°F low for Miami on June 4 stems from the official National Weather Service observation at Miami International Airport, which recorded a minimum of 73°F shortly after midnight under typical early-summer conditions. This aligns closely with climatological normals of 74-76°F for the date and recent model guidance showing minimal overnight cooling amid high humidity and light winds. Traders priced the outcome near certainty once preliminary station data confirmed the reading, with negligible probability assigned to outliers given the absence of atypical frontal passages or enhanced radiational cooling. Minor revisions to the final certified value remain possible but unlikely to shift the result outside the leading band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on June 4?
Lowest temperature in Miami on June 4?
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$23,463 Vol.
$23,463 Vol.
Jun 4, 2026
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$23,463 Vol.
$23,463 Vol.
Jun 4, 2026
67°F or below
$1,720 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$1,095 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$2,796 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$3,053 Vol.
Yes
74-75°F
$2,163 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,421 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$1,655 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$407 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$1,347 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$6,644 Vol.
No
86°F or higher
$1,162 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant market consensus on a 72-73°F low for Miami on June 4 stems from the official National Weather Service observation at Miami International Airport, which recorded a minimum of 73°F shortly after midnight under typical early-summer conditions. This aligns closely with climatological normals of 74-76°F for the date and recent model guidance showing minimal overnight cooling amid high humidity and light winds. Traders priced the outcome near certainty once preliminary station data confirmed the reading, with negligible probability assigned to outliers given the absence of atypical frontal passages or enhanced radiational cooling. Minor revisions to the final certified value remain possible but unlikely to shift the result outside the leading band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 2, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Volume
$23,463End Date
Jun 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 12:39 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant market consensus on a 72-73°F low for Miami on June 4 stems from the official National Weather Service observation at Miami International Airport, which recorded a minimum of 73°F shortly after midnight under typical early-summer conditions. This aligns closely with climatological normals of 74-76°F for the date and recent model guidance showing minimal overnight cooling amid high humidity and light winds. Traders priced the outcome near certainty once preliminary station data confirmed the reading, with negligible probability assigned to outliers given the absence of atypical frontal passages or enhanced radiational cooling. Minor revisions to the final certified value remain possible but unlikely to shift the result outside the leading band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,463End Date
Jun 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 12:39 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The dominant market consensus on a 72-73°F low for Miami on June 4 stems from the official National Weather Service observation at Miami International Airport, which recorded a minimum of 73°F shortly after midnight under typical early-summer conditions. This aligns closely with climatological normals of 74-76°F for the date and recent model guidance showing minimal overnight cooling amid high humidity and light winds. Traders priced the outcome near certainty once preliminary station data confirmed the reading, with negligible probability assigned to outliers given the absence of atypical frontal passages or enhanced radiational cooling. Minor revisions to the final certified value remain possible but unlikely to shift the result outside the leading band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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