Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate the minimum temperature in Munich on August 29 will likely fall in the 13–15°C range, driven by a westward-moving frontal system bringing overnight rain, increased cloud cover, and reduced radiative cooling under lighter southwesterly winds. This follows warmer, partly cloudy conditions on August 27–28 with highs near 28–30°C. Historical data place the long-term average low for the date at 12.7°C, with recent years showing variability from 10–15°C depending on similar late-summer patterns. Traders appear focused on subtle differences in model timing of precipitation and wind shifts that could nudge the overnight minimum by 1–2°C, with fresh ensemble runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 29?
13°C 30%
14°C 29%
15°C 26%
16°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
10°C or below
6%
11°C
10%
12°C
22%
13°C
30%
14°C
29%
15°C
26%
16°C
25%
17°C
8%
18°C
2%
19°C
8%
20°C or higher
8%
13°C 30%
14°C 29%
15°C 26%
16°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
10°C or below
$35 Vol.
6%
11°C
$16 Vol.
10%
12°C
$0 Vol.
22%
13°C
$0 Vol.
30%
14°C
$0 Vol.
29%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
25%
17°C
$0 Vol.
8%
18°C
$5 Vol.
2%
19°C
$5 Vol.
8%
20°C or higher
$5 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate the minimum temperature in Munich on August 29 will likely fall in the 13–15°C range, driven by a westward-moving frontal system bringing overnight rain, increased cloud cover, and reduced radiative cooling under lighter southwesterly winds. This follows warmer, partly cloudy conditions on August 27–28 with highs near 28–30°C. Historical data place the long-term average low for the date at 12.7°C, with recent years showing variability from 10–15°C depending on similar late-summer patterns. Traders appear focused on subtle differences in model timing of precipitation and wind shifts that could nudge the overnight minimum by 1–2°C, with fresh ensemble runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$66End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate the minimum temperature in Munich on August 29 will likely fall in the 13–15°C range, driven by a westward-moving frontal system bringing overnight rain, increased cloud cover, and reduced radiative cooling under lighter southwesterly winds. This follows warmer, partly cloudy conditions on August 27–28 with highs near 28–30°C. Historical data place the long-term average low for the date at 12.7°C, with recent years showing variability from 10–15°C depending on similar late-summer patterns. Traders appear focused on subtle differences in model timing of precipitation and wind shifts that could nudge the overnight minimum by 1–2°C, with fresh ensemble runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$66End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate the minimum temperature in Munich on August 29 will likely fall in the 13–15°C range, driven by a westward-moving frontal system bringing overnight rain, increased cloud cover, and reduced radiative cooling under lighter southwesterly winds. This follows warmer, partly cloudy conditions on August 27–28 with highs near 28–30°C. Historical data place the long-term average low for the date at 12.7°C, with recent years showing variability from 10–15°C depending on similar late-summer patterns. Traders appear focused on subtle differences in model timing of precipitation and wind shifts that could nudge the overnight minimum by 1–2°C, with fresh ensemble runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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