Market-implied odds strongly favor a 13°C minimum temperature in Paris on June 3 due to consensus from numerical weather prediction models and observational data showing stable overnight conditions under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Early June climatology for the region typically features lows between 11°C and 16°C, and current forecasts align precisely with this central value without indications of advection from cooler air masses or enhanced radiative cooling. Trader positioning reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range models, where small deviations in cloud cover or humidity could shift the outcome slightly but remain unlikely to produce extremes. Upcoming updates from agencies like Météo-France will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings at standard heights.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on June 3?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 3?
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$11,534 Vol.
$11,534 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$11,534 Vol.
$11,534 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
7°C or below
$370 Vol.
No
8°C
$211 Vol.
No
9°C
$577 Vol.
No
10°C
$374 Vol.
No
11°C
$1,225 Vol.
No
12°C
$1,697 Vol.
No
13°C
$3,811 Vol.
Yes
14°C
$873 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,355 Vol.
No
16°C
$788 Vol.
No
17°C or higher
$252 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds strongly favor a 13°C minimum temperature in Paris on June 3 due to consensus from numerical weather prediction models and observational data showing stable overnight conditions under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Early June climatology for the region typically features lows between 11°C and 16°C, and current forecasts align precisely with this central value without indications of advection from cooler air masses or enhanced radiative cooling. Trader positioning reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range models, where small deviations in cloud cover or humidity could shift the outcome slightly but remain unlikely to produce extremes. Upcoming updates from agencies like Météo-France will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings at standard heights.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
Volume
$11,534End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds strongly favor a 13°C minimum temperature in Paris on June 3 due to consensus from numerical weather prediction models and observational data showing stable overnight conditions under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Early June climatology for the region typically features lows between 11°C and 16°C, and current forecasts align precisely with this central value without indications of advection from cooler air masses or enhanced radiative cooling. Trader positioning reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range models, where small deviations in cloud cover or humidity could shift the outcome slightly but remain unlikely to produce extremes. Upcoming updates from agencies like Météo-France will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings at standard heights.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,534End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Market-implied odds strongly favor a 13°C minimum temperature in Paris on June 3 due to consensus from numerical weather prediction models and observational data showing stable overnight conditions under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Early June climatology for the region typically features lows between 11°C and 16°C, and current forecasts align precisely with this central value without indications of advection from cooler air masses or enhanced radiative cooling. Trader positioning reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range models, where small deviations in cloud cover or humidity could shift the outcome slightly but remain unlikely to produce extremes. Upcoming updates from agencies like Météo-France will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings at standard heights.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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