Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project Seoul’s overnight low on June 4 stabilizing at 18°C, supported by moderate westerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and typical early-summer humidity that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological baselines showing average June minimums of 17–19°C and recent ensemble model consensus showing minimal cold advection risk. Trader consensus at 100% for 18°C reflects this strong data alignment ahead of the 3–9 a.m. observation window used for market resolution. Unseasonal clear skies or a sharper northerly shift could push readings slightly lower, though current guidance assigns low probability to such deviations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul on June 4?
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$26,836 Vol.
$26,836 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$26,836 Vol.
$26,836 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 2, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project Seoul’s overnight low on June 4 stabilizing at 18°C, supported by moderate westerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and typical early-summer humidity that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological baselines showing average June minimums of 17–19°C and recent ensemble model consensus showing minimal cold advection risk. Trader consensus at 100% for 18°C reflects this strong data alignment ahead of the 3–9 a.m. observation window used for market resolution. Unseasonal clear skies or a sharper northerly shift could push readings slightly lower, though current guidance assigns low probability to such deviations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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