Recent heavy rainfall and thunderstorms from the remnants of Typhoon Shadear's circulation have increased cloud cover and northerly winds over Shenzhen, moderating overnight cooling ahead of September 1. Official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international models converge on minimum temperatures of 24–26°C under mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers, consistent with early-September climatology where average lows hover near 25–26°C. Model spread arises from variable rain timing and intensity, which can suppress radiative cooling or enhance it via evaporative effects, keeping 25°C and 26°C outcomes closely matched while limiting odds for 22°C or below absent a stronger cold-air surge. Updated NHC and CMA guidance on lingering moisture will refine the final minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 1?
22°C or below 91%
23°C 85%
24°C 83%
28°C 49%
22°C or below
91%
23°C
85%
24°C
83%
25°C
45%
26°C
48%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
22°C or below 91%
23°C 85%
24°C 83%
28°C 49%
22°C or below
91%
23°C
85%
24°C
83%
25°C
45%
26°C
48%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall and thunderstorms from the remnants of Typhoon Shadear's circulation have increased cloud cover and northerly winds over Shenzhen, moderating overnight cooling ahead of September 1. Official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international models converge on minimum temperatures of 24–26°C under mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers, consistent with early-September climatology where average lows hover near 25–26°C. Model spread arises from variable rain timing and intensity, which can suppress radiative cooling or enhance it via evaporative effects, keeping 25°C and 26°C outcomes closely matched while limiting odds for 22°C or below absent a stronger cold-air surge. Updated NHC and CMA guidance on lingering moisture will refine the final minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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