Incumbent Democrat Jake Auchincloss holds a commanding position in Massachusetts's 4th Congressional District heading into the 2026 cycle, backed by the seat's strong Democratic lean and his established record since winning the open seat in 2020. The district's partisan voting index favors Democrats by double digits, aligning with the state's broader pattern where all nine House seats have remained in Democratic hands. Multiple Democratic primary challengers have emerged for the September 1 contest, yet none have shifted the race into competitive territory. A Republican primary candidate and at least one independent general election entrant face structural barriers in a district last won by a Republican decades ago. Late developments such as an incumbent health issue, major scandal, or unexpected primary outcome could theoretically alter general election dynamics, though the timeline through November 3 leaves limited room for such shifts to overcome the established partisan baseline reflected in trader consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa MA-04
Vencedor da eleição da casa MA-04
$38,064 Vol.
$38,064 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
95%
Partido Republicano
3%
$38,064 Vol.
$38,064 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$18,185 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$19,880 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jake Auchincloss holds a commanding position in Massachusetts's 4th Congressional District heading into the 2026 cycle, backed by the seat's strong Democratic lean and his established record since winning the open seat in 2020. The district's partisan voting index favors Democrats by double digits, aligning with the state's broader pattern where all nine House seats have remained in Democratic hands. Multiple Democratic primary challengers have emerged for the September 1 contest, yet none have shifted the race into competitive territory. A Republican primary candidate and at least one independent general election entrant face structural barriers in a district last won by a Republican decades ago. Late developments such as an incumbent health issue, major scandal, or unexpected primary outcome could theoretically alter general election dynamics, though the timeline through November 3 leaves limited room for such shifts to overcome the established partisan baseline reflected in trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$38,064Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jake Auchincloss holds a commanding position in Massachusetts's 4th Congressional District heading into the 2026 cycle, backed by the seat's strong Democratic lean and his established record since winning the open seat in 2020. The district's partisan voting index favors Democrats by double digits, aligning with the state's broader pattern where all nine House seats have remained in Democratic hands. Multiple Democratic primary challengers have emerged for the September 1 contest, yet none have shifted the race into competitive territory. A Republican primary candidate and at least one independent general election entrant face structural barriers in a district last won by a Republican decades ago. Late developments such as an incumbent health issue, major scandal, or unexpected primary outcome could theoretically alter general election dynamics, though the timeline through November 3 leaves limited room for such shifts to overcome the established partisan baseline reflected in trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,064Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jake Auchincloss holds a commanding position in Massachusetts's 4th Congressional District heading into the 2026 cycle, backed by the seat's strong Democratic lean and his established record since winning the open seat in 2020. The district's partisan voting index favors Democrats by double digits, aligning with the state's broader pattern where all nine House seats have remained in Democratic hands. Multiple Democratic primary challengers have emerged for the September 1 contest, yet none have shifted the race into competitive territory. A Republican primary candidate and at least one independent general election entrant face structural barriers in a district last won by a Republican decades ago. Late developments such as an incumbent health issue, major scandal, or unexpected primary outcome could theoretically alter general election dynamics, though the timeline through November 3 leaves limited room for such shifts to overcome the established partisan baseline reflected in trader consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions