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icon for New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner

New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner

New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner

Greg Hull 100.0%

Brian Cillessen <1%

Duke Rodriguez <1%

Judith Nakamura <1%

Polymarket

$1,056,529 Vol.

Greg Hull 100.0%

Brian Cillessen <1%

Duke Rodriguez <1%

Judith Nakamura <1%

Polymarket

$1,056,529 Vol.

Greg Hull

$182,667 Vol.

Yes

Brian Cillessen

$21,314 Vol.

No

Duke Rodriguez

$29,224 Vol.

No

Judith Nakamura

$26,484 Vol.

No

John Sanchez

$24,689 Vol.

No

Steve Lanier

$673,149 Vol.

No

Belinda Robertson

$28,107 Vol.

No

Mark Murphy

$17,912 Vol.

No

Susana Martinez

$25,979 Vol.

No

Doug Turner

$27,004 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Gregg Hull secured overwhelming trader consensus in the New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary due to his early declaration as Rio Rancho mayor, consistent fundraising leadership exceeding $300,000, and broad party support in a low-turnout contest against limited opposition. Brian Cillessen filed exploratory paperwork but never mounted an active campaign or secured meaningful endorsements, leaving Hull as the sole established contender with statewide name recognition. The June 2 primary results, where Hull captured a plurality of votes, reinforced this positioning. Late developments such as a surprise withdrawal by another filer or official certification delays could theoretically shift resolution timing, though no such factors have emerged.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$1,056,529
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Gregg Hull secured overwhelming trader consensus in the New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary due to his early declaration as Rio Rancho mayor, consistent fundraising leadership exceeding $300,000, and broad party support in a low-turnout contest against limited opposition. Brian Cillessen filed exploratory paperwork but never mounted an active campaign or secured meaningful endorsements, leaving Hull as the sole established contender with statewide name recognition. The June 2 primary results, where Hull captured a plurality of votes, reinforced this positioning. Late developments such as a surprise withdrawal by another filer or official certification delays could theoretically shift resolution timing, though no such factors have emerged.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$1,056,529
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Greg Hull" at 100%, followed by "Brian Cillessen" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Greg Hull" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Brian Cillessen" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.