Zelenskyy's Easter truce proposal, swiftly dismissed by Russia as a PR stunt and met with a massive drone barrage killing five amid stalled trilateral U.S.-mediated peace talks diverted by the Iran crisis, drives the closely contested 51% trader consensus for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end-2027. Battlefield stalemate persists, with Moscow claiming Luhansk control—denied by Kyiv—while Ukraine regains eastern settlements and reveals captured Russian offensive plans targeting Donbas, Zaporizhzhia, and Odesa through 2027. Resumed negotiations post-Iran or U.S. security guarantees could elevate odds, but intensified airstrikes, troop escalations, or diplomatic breakdowns risk entrenching prolonged conflict.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
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Dec 31, 2027
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Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Zelenskyy's Easter truce proposal, swiftly dismissed by Russia as a PR stunt and met with a massive drone barrage killing five amid stalled trilateral U.S.-mediated peace talks diverted by the Iran crisis, drives the closely contested 51% trader consensus for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end-2027. Battlefield stalemate persists, with Moscow claiming Luhansk control—denied by Kyiv—while Ukraine regains eastern settlements and reveals captured Russian offensive plans targeting Donbas, Zaporizhzhia, and Odesa through 2027. Resumed negotiations post-Iran or U.S. security guarantees could elevate odds, but intensified airstrikes, troop escalations, or diplomatic breakdowns risk entrenching prolonged conflict.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Volume
$2,653End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Zelenskyy's Easter truce proposal, swiftly dismissed by Russia as a PR stunt and met with a massive drone barrage killing five amid stalled trilateral U.S.-mediated peace talks diverted by the Iran crisis, drives the closely contested 51% trader consensus for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end-2027. Battlefield stalemate persists, with Moscow claiming Luhansk control—denied by Kyiv—while Ukraine regains eastern settlements and reveals captured Russian offensive plans targeting Donbas, Zaporizhzhia, and Odesa through 2027. Resumed negotiations post-Iran or U.S. security guarantees could elevate odds, but intensified airstrikes, troop escalations, or diplomatic breakdowns risk entrenching prolonged conflict.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Volume
$2,653End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Zelenskyy's Easter truce proposal, swiftly dismissed by Russia as a PR stunt and met with a massive drone barrage killing five amid stalled trilateral U.S.-mediated peace talks diverted by the Iran crisis, drives the closely contested 51% trader consensus for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end-2027. Battlefield stalemate persists, with Moscow claiming Luhansk control—denied by Kyiv—while Ukraine regains eastern settlements and reveals captured Russian offensive plans targeting Donbas, Zaporizhzhia, and Odesa through 2027. Resumed negotiations post-Iran or U.S. security guarantees could elevate odds, but intensified airstrikes, troop escalations, or diplomatic breakdowns risk entrenching prolonged conflict.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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