The House of Representatives has passed multiple versions of the SAVE Act, including H.R. 22 and the related SAVE America Act in 2025 and February 2026, requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration. However, the legislation remains stalled in the Senate, where 60 votes are needed to overcome a filibuster and Republicans hold 53 seats without sufficient bipartisan backing for cloture. Recent Senate floor debate in March 2026 highlighted this procedural hurdle, with one Republican senator opposing advancement and no Democratic votes materializing. Traders' 92% implied probability against enactment in 2026 reflects these repeated institutional barriers and the absence of scheduled votes or compromises likely to produce a signed bill before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$168,146 Vol.
$168,146 Vol.
Oui
$168,146 Vol.
$168,146 Vol.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The House of Representatives has passed multiple versions of the SAVE Act, including H.R. 22 and the related SAVE America Act in 2025 and February 2026, requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration. However, the legislation remains stalled in the Senate, where 60 votes are needed to overcome a filibuster and Republicans hold 53 seats without sufficient bipartisan backing for cloture. Recent Senate floor debate in March 2026 highlighted this procedural hurdle, with one Republican senator opposing advancement and no Democratic votes materializing. Traders' 92% implied probability against enactment in 2026 reflects these repeated institutional barriers and the absence of scheduled votes or compromises likely to produce a signed bill before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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