The Republican-controlled Senate’s 60-vote cloture threshold remains the primary barrier to enactment of H.R. 22, the SAVE Act, which cleared the House in April 2025 and again in revised form in February 2026. With only 53 Republican seats, the measure requires at least seven Democratic votes that have not materialized, and Senate consideration stalled after limited debate in March without cloture motions or floor votes. No bipartisan negotiations have advanced since, while the approach of the 2026 midterms has further constrained prospects for compromise before year-end. Trader consensus therefore assigns low probability to both chambers passing the bill and presidential signature occurring by December 31, 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$168,162 交易量
$168,162 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$168,162 交易量
$168,162 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Republican-controlled Senate’s 60-vote cloture threshold remains the primary barrier to enactment of H.R. 22, the SAVE Act, which cleared the House in April 2025 and again in revised form in February 2026. With only 53 Republican seats, the measure requires at least seven Democratic votes that have not materialized, and Senate consideration stalled after limited debate in March without cloture motions or floor votes. No bipartisan negotiations have advanced since, while the approach of the 2026 midterms has further constrained prospects for compromise before year-end. Trader consensus therefore assigns low probability to both chambers passing the bill and presidential signature occurring by December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
交易量
$168,162结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Republican-controlled Senate’s 60-vote cloture threshold remains the primary barrier to enactment of H.R. 22, the SAVE Act, which cleared the House in April 2025 and again in revised form in February 2026. With only 53 Republican seats, the measure requires at least seven Democratic votes that have not materialized, and Senate consideration stalled after limited debate in March without cloture motions or floor votes. No bipartisan negotiations have advanced since, while the approach of the 2026 midterms has further constrained prospects for compromise before year-end. Trader consensus therefore assigns low probability to both chambers passing the bill and presidential signature occurring by December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$168,162结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Republican-controlled Senate’s 60-vote cloture threshold remains the primary barrier to enactment of H.R. 22, the SAVE Act, which cleared the House in April 2025 and again in revised form in February 2026. With only 53 Republican seats, the measure requires at least seven Democratic votes that have not materialized, and Senate consideration stalled after limited debate in March without cloture motions or floor votes. No bipartisan negotiations have advanced since, while the approach of the 2026 midterms has further constrained prospects for compromise before year-end. Trader consensus therefore assigns low probability to both chambers passing the bill and presidential signature occurring by December 31, 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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