Legislation authorizing a $250 denomination featuring a living president has remained stalled in the House Financial Services Committee since its February 2025 introduction, requiring amendments to the Federal Reserve Act and exceptions to rules limiting currency portraits to deceased individuals. Treasury officials prepared designs in advance of potential passage to mark the semiquincentennial, yet repeatedly stated that congressional action is mandatory and none has advanced despite limited Republican support on Capitol Hill. With only months remaining in 2026 and Democratic opposition including calls for oversight of agency planning, traders assign 96.8% probability to no issuance this year. Late-session votes or unforeseen procedural maneuvers represent the primary remaining paths that could alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated3% chance
$29,909 Vol.
$29,909 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
3% chance
$29,909 Vol.
$29,909 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation authorizing a $250 denomination featuring a living president has remained stalled in the House Financial Services Committee since its February 2025 introduction, requiring amendments to the Federal Reserve Act and exceptions to rules limiting currency portraits to deceased individuals. Treasury officials prepared designs in advance of potential passage to mark the semiquincentennial, yet repeatedly stated that congressional action is mandatory and none has advanced despite limited Republican support on Capitol Hill. With only months remaining in 2026 and Democratic opposition including calls for oversight of agency planning, traders assign 96.8% probability to no issuance this year. Late-session votes or unforeseen procedural maneuvers represent the primary remaining paths that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
Volume
$29,909End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation authorizing a $250 denomination featuring a living president has remained stalled in the House Financial Services Committee since its February 2025 introduction, requiring amendments to the Federal Reserve Act and exceptions to rules limiting currency portraits to deceased individuals. Treasury officials prepared designs in advance of potential passage to mark the semiquincentennial, yet repeatedly stated that congressional action is mandatory and none has advanced despite limited Republican support on Capitol Hill. With only months remaining in 2026 and Democratic opposition including calls for oversight of agency planning, traders assign 96.8% probability to no issuance this year. Late-session votes or unforeseen procedural maneuvers represent the primary remaining paths that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$29,909End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legislation authorizing a $250 denomination featuring a living president has remained stalled in the House Financial Services Committee since its February 2025 introduction, requiring amendments to the Federal Reserve Act and exceptions to rules limiting currency portraits to deceased individuals. Treasury officials prepared designs in advance of potential passage to mark the semiquincentennial, yet repeatedly stated that congressional action is mandatory and none has advanced despite limited Republican support on Capitol Hill. With only months remaining in 2026 and Democratic opposition including calls for oversight of agency planning, traders assign 96.8% probability to no issuance this year. Late-session votes or unforeseen procedural maneuvers represent the primary remaining paths that could alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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