Incumbent Liberal Democrat Peter Taylor leads trader consensus at 42.5% implied probability for the Watford mayoral election on May 7, buoyed by his unanimous re-selection last September, a March 30 manifesto launch promising expanded parks, a new museum, sports facilities, and low council tax hikes, plus Watford Council's recent Council of the Year accolade and projected dominance in the simultaneous borough elections. Reform UK's Mark Dixon trails closely at 32.5%, gaining from strong by-election results and rebuttals to residency challenges highlighting his 35+ years of local business ties. Conservative Abdul Laskar, Labour's Keith Morgan, Green Jake Mitchell, Independent Ryan Bonar, and UK Voice's Ketankumar Pipaliya remain viable in this first-past-the-post multi-candidate contest, with nominations confirmed April 9 and no public polls available.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWatford Mayoral Election Winner
Watford Mayoral Election Winner
Mark Dixon 45%
Keith Morgan 27%
Jake Mitchell 25%
Abdul Laskar 24%

Mark Dixon
29%

Keith Morgan
27%

Jake Mitchell
25%

Abdul Laskar
24%

Ketankumar Pipaliya
24%

Ryan Bonar
23%

Peter Taylor
51%
Mark Dixon 45%
Keith Morgan 27%
Jake Mitchell 25%
Abdul Laskar 24%

Mark Dixon
29%

Keith Morgan
27%

Jake Mitchell
25%

Abdul Laskar
24%

Ketankumar Pipaliya
24%

Ryan Bonar
23%

Peter Taylor
51%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Watford as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Watford Borough Council.
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Watford as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Watford Borough Council.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Liberal Democrat Peter Taylor leads trader consensus at 42.5% implied probability for the Watford mayoral election on May 7, buoyed by his unanimous re-selection last September, a March 30 manifesto launch promising expanded parks, a new museum, sports facilities, and low council tax hikes, plus Watford Council's recent Council of the Year accolade and projected dominance in the simultaneous borough elections. Reform UK's Mark Dixon trails closely at 32.5%, gaining from strong by-election results and rebuttals to residency challenges highlighting his 35+ years of local business ties. Conservative Abdul Laskar, Labour's Keith Morgan, Green Jake Mitchell, Independent Ryan Bonar, and UK Voice's Ketankumar Pipaliya remain viable in this first-past-the-post multi-candidate contest, with nominations confirmed April 9 and no public polls available.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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