President Trump's Truth Social activity during April 27-May 3 centered on U.S.-Iran tensions, including posts reviewing Tehran's peace proposal as inadequate, warning Iran had "not yet paid a big enough price," and announcing plans to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz amid a shaky ceasefire. He also praised Israel as a key U.S. ally and reportedly called India a "hellhole," drawing condemnation. These late-night foreign policy missives, consistent with his nocturnal posting pattern where a third occur overnight, drove trader focus on signature phrases like "hell," "third-rate," or "POTUS" in the multi-outcome market, which resolved based on exact wording in posts from that week. No X activity was noted.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$48,478 Vol.
May 3, 2026
Hell
No
Book
Yes
I love King / I love the King
No
Make Iran Great Again / MIGA
No
Franklin Graham
No
POTUS
No
Trust Trump / Trust in Trump
No
TrumpRX
No
Prince Harry
No
UFO
No
AI / Artificial Intelligence
No
Third rate
No
Free Tina Peters
No
Triumphal Arc / Triumphal Arch
No
Crypto / Bitcoin
No
Landslide
No
Midterm
Yes
Prosecute / Prosecution
No
Hoax / Scam
Yes
Blockade
No
Ammo / Ammunition
No
Poll / Polling
Yes
Elon / Musk
No
$48,478 Vol.
Hell
$2,239 Vol.
No
Book
$284 Vol.
Yes
I love King / I love the King
$30,932 Vol.
No
Make Iran Great Again / MIGA
$827 Vol.
No
Franklin Graham
$290 Vol.
No
POTUS
$982 Vol.
No
Trust Trump / Trust in Trump
$1,189 Vol.
No
TrumpRX
$162 Vol.
No
Prince Harry
$1,418 Vol.
No
UFO
$1,568 Vol.
No
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$187 Vol.
No
Third rate
$217 Vol.
No
Free Tina Peters
$1,487 Vol.
No
Triumphal Arc / Triumphal Arch
$281 Vol.
No
Crypto / Bitcoin
$938 Vol.
No
Landslide
$284 Vol.
No
Midterm
$643 Vol.
Yes
Prosecute / Prosecution
$1,278 Vol.
No
Hoax / Scam
$582 Vol.
Yes
Blockade
$602 Vol.
No
Ammo / Ammunition
$286 Vol.
No
Poll / Polling
$252 Vol.
Yes
Elon / Musk
$1,550 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between April 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.President Trump's Truth Social activity during April 27-May 3 centered on U.S.-Iran tensions, including posts reviewing Tehran's peace proposal as inadequate, warning Iran had "not yet paid a big enough price," and announcing plans to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz amid a shaky ceasefire. He also praised Israel as a key U.S. ally and reportedly called India a "hellhole," drawing condemnation. These late-night foreign policy missives, consistent with his nocturnal posting pattern where a third occur overnight, drove trader focus on signature phrases like "hell," "third-rate," or "POTUS" in the multi-outcome market, which resolved based on exact wording in posts from that week. No X activity was noted.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between April 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Market Opened: Apr 24, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
Volume
$48,478End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between April 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.President Trump's Truth Social activity during April 27-May 3 centered on U.S.-Iran tensions, including posts reviewing Tehran's peace proposal as inadequate, warning Iran had "not yet paid a big enough price," and announcing plans to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz amid a shaky ceasefire. He also praised Israel as a key U.S. ally and reportedly called India a "hellhole," drawing condemnation. These late-night foreign policy missives, consistent with his nocturnal posting pattern where a third occur overnight, drove trader focus on signature phrases like "hell," "third-rate," or "POTUS" in the multi-outcome market, which resolved based on exact wording in posts from that week. No X activity was noted.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between April 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Volume
$48,478End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
President Trump's Truth Social activity during April 27-May 3 centered on U.S.-Iran tensions, including posts reviewing Tehran's peace proposal as inadequate, warning Iran had "not yet paid a big enough price," and announcing plans to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz amid a shaky ceasefire. He also praised Israel as a key U.S. ally and reportedly called India a "hellhole," drawing condemnation. These late-night foreign policy missives, consistent with his nocturnal posting pattern where a third occur overnight, drove trader focus on signature phrases like "hell," "third-rate," or "POTUS" in the multi-outcome market, which resolved based on exact wording in posts from that week. No X activity was noted.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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