Trader consensus prices "Scam/Fraud" at 97% probability for a verbal mention by President Trump between May 4-10, reflecting his longstanding rhetorical style accusing opponents, media, or deals of fraud during speeches and interviews, as seen in recent White House remarks on May 6 and 8 focused on Iran and China policy. On May 10, Trump verbally slammed Iran's response to a U.S. peace proposal as "totally unacceptable" in media appearances, warning of potential bombing resumption amid Secretary Rubio's negotiations, while a possible Xi Jinping summit looms. The market resolves solely on publicly recorded audio/video mentions, excluding Truth Social posts, with low odds on niche terms like "Kamala" or "Wall Street" due to geopolitical priorities dominating discourse.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$86,921 Vol.
May 10, 2026
Six Seven
Yes
Television / TV
Yes
Wall Street
No
Jimmy / Kimmel
Yes
Regarded
No
Transgender
Yes
Ruckus
No
Autopen
No
AI / Artificial Intelligence
Yes
Train
No
Cocaine
No
Mob / Mafia
No
Daddy
No
My father
No
Midterm
Yes
President Xi
Yes
Uncle
Yes
Scam / Fraud
Yes
Kamala
No
$86,921 Vol.
Six Seven
$702 Vol.
Yes
Television / TV
$13,689 Vol.
Yes
Wall Street
$3,009 Vol.
No
Jimmy / Kimmel
$3,673 Vol.
Yes
Regarded
$1,439 Vol.
No
Transgender
$2,761 Vol.
Yes
Ruckus
$556 Vol.
No
Autopen
$4,961 Vol.
No
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$14,982 Vol.
Yes
Train
$1,259 Vol.
No
Cocaine
$3,716 Vol.
No
Mob / Mafia
$2,763 Vol.
No
Daddy
$1,544 Vol.
No
My father
$6,165 Vol.
No
Midterm
$11,361 Vol.
Yes
President Xi
$1,085 Vol.
Yes
Uncle
$377 Vol.
Yes
Scam / Fraud
$4,120 Vol.
Yes
Kamala
$8,758 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus prices "Scam/Fraud" at 97% probability for a verbal mention by President Trump between May 4-10, reflecting his longstanding rhetorical style accusing opponents, media, or deals of fraud during speeches and interviews, as seen in recent White House remarks on May 6 and 8 focused on Iran and China policy. On May 10, Trump verbally slammed Iran's response to a U.S. peace proposal as "totally unacceptable" in media appearances, warning of potential bombing resumption amid Secretary Rubio's negotiations, while a possible Xi Jinping summit looms. The market resolves solely on publicly recorded audio/video mentions, excluding Truth Social posts, with low odds on niche terms like "Kamala" or "Wall Street" due to geopolitical priorities dominating discourse.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Market Opened: May 1, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Volume
$86,921End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus prices "Scam/Fraud" at 97% probability for a verbal mention by President Trump between May 4-10, reflecting his longstanding rhetorical style accusing opponents, media, or deals of fraud during speeches and interviews, as seen in recent White House remarks on May 6 and 8 focused on Iran and China policy. On May 10, Trump verbally slammed Iran's response to a U.S. peace proposal as "totally unacceptable" in media appearances, warning of potential bombing resumption amid Secretary Rubio's negotiations, while a possible Xi Jinping summit looms. The market resolves solely on publicly recorded audio/video mentions, excluding Truth Social posts, with low odds on niche terms like "Kamala" or "Wall Street" due to geopolitical priorities dominating discourse.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$86,921End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Trader consensus prices "Scam/Fraud" at 97% probability for a verbal mention by President Trump between May 4-10, reflecting his longstanding rhetorical style accusing opponents, media, or deals of fraud during speeches and interviews, as seen in recent White House remarks on May 6 and 8 focused on Iran and China policy. On May 10, Trump verbally slammed Iran's response to a U.S. peace proposal as "totally unacceptable" in media appearances, warning of potential bombing resumption amid Secretary Rubio's negotiations, while a possible Xi Jinping summit looms. The market resolves solely on publicly recorded audio/video mentions, excluding Truth Social posts, with low odds on niche terms like "Kamala" or "Wall Street" due to geopolitical priorities dominating discourse.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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