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Politics·Israel

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

icon for Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?
Politics·Israel

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

$49,490 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$49,490 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30

$16,703 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US-brokered talks between Israeli and Lebanese delegations in Washington have produced conditional ceasefires and extensions since April 2026, yet Hezbollah has rejected key terms and cross-border incidents persist. Lebanese President Joseph Aoun has publicly conditioned any direct contact with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on a prior security agreement, Israeli withdrawal commitments, and an end to strikes, while stating such a leader-level call or meeting is not appropriate at present. Washington has pressed for a visible summit or call, including a proposed White House session, to advance de-escalation and Lebanese state control in the south. Preparatory ambassador-level discussions continue, but Aoun’s domestic constraints and the need for Hezbollah acquiescence limit near-term prospects for direct leader engagement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$49,490
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 5:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US-brokered talks between Israeli and Lebanese delegations in Washington have produced conditional ceasefires and extensions since April 2026, yet Hezbollah has rejected key terms and cross-border incidents persist. Lebanese President Joseph Aoun has publicly conditioned any direct contact with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on a prior security agreement, Israeli withdrawal commitments, and an end to strikes, while stating such a leader-level call or meeting is not appropriate at present. Washington has pressed for a visible summit or call, including a proposed White House session, to advance de-escalation and Lebanese state control in the south. Preparatory ambassador-level discussions continue, but Aoun’s domestic constraints and the need for Hezbollah acquiescence limit near-term prospects for direct leader engagement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$49,490
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 5:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "June 30" at 4%, followed by "April 17" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 4¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 4% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?" has generated $49.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?" is "June 30" at just 4%, with "April 17" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.