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Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?

icon for Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?

Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?

90% chance
Polymarket
NEW
90% chance
Polymarket
NEW
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.” If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).Virginia voters face a legislatively referred constitutional amendment on the November 3, 2026 ballot that would add a right to reproductive freedom to the state constitution, covering decisions on abortion, contraception, prenatal care, and related services while permitting third-trimester regulations except where a physician deems the procedure necessary to protect the pregnant individual's health or viability. The measure cleared the required second passage through the Democratic-controlled General Assembly earlier in 2026 after initial approval in 2025. Early 2026 polling indicated 61-66% support, and Virginia remains the only Southern state without a post-Dobbs statutory ban on most abortions. Traders have priced Yes at 90%, reflecting this polling lead and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the contest into tighter territory ahead of early voting, though turnout patterns or late campaign developments could still affect the final tally.

Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.” If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
Volume
$1,665
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 2, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.” If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).Virginia voters face a legislatively referred constitutional amendment on the November 3, 2026 ballot that would add a right to reproductive freedom to the state constitution, covering decisions on abortion, contraception, prenatal care, and related services while permitting third-trimester regulations except where a physician deems the procedure necessary to protect the pregnant individual's health or viability. The measure cleared the required second passage through the Democratic-controlled General Assembly earlier in 2026 after initial approval in 2025. Early 2026 polling indicated 61-66% support, and Virginia remains the only Southern state without a post-Dobbs statutory ban on most abortions. Traders have priced Yes at 90%, reflecting this polling lead and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the contest into tighter territory ahead of early voting, though turnout patterns or late campaign developments could still affect the final tally.

Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.” If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
Volume
$1,665
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 2, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 90% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 90¢, the market collectively assigns a 90% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?" is 90% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 90% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.