Virginia’s closely contested referendum on the Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment reflects the state’s narrow partisan divide and procedural uncertainties ahead of the November 3, 2026 vote. The measure, which would embed protections for abortion access through the third trimester with health exceptions, contraception, and fertility care into the constitution, cleared the required legislative hurdles in successive sessions before Governor Spanberger signed enabling legislation in February 2026. A March 2026 lawsuit alleging improper distribution of the text to local clerks remains unresolved and could affect ballot placement. Polling from 2024–early 2026 showed 61–66 percent support, yet shifting turnout among independents, suburban voters, and competing ballot questions on voting rights and marriage could narrow or widen margins. Late campaign spending, legal rulings on the challenge, and any shifts in legislative control after 2025 elections remain key variables that could alter trader assessments of passage.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПройдет ли поправка о защите абортов в Вирджинии?
Пройдет ли поправка о защите абортов в Вирджинии?
Да
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Да
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).Virginia’s closely contested referendum on the Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment reflects the state’s narrow partisan divide and procedural uncertainties ahead of the November 3, 2026 vote. The measure, which would embed protections for abortion access through the third trimester with health exceptions, contraception, and fertility care into the constitution, cleared the required legislative hurdles in successive sessions before Governor Spanberger signed enabling legislation in February 2026. A March 2026 lawsuit alleging improper distribution of the text to local clerks remains unresolved and could affect ballot placement. Polling from 2024–early 2026 showed 61–66 percent support, yet shifting turnout among independents, suburban voters, and competing ballot questions on voting rights and marriage could narrow or widen margins. Late campaign spending, legal rulings on the challenge, and any shifts in legislative control after 2025 elections remain key variables that could alter trader assessments of passage.
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
Открытие рынка: Mar 2, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Объем
$103Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 2, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).Virginia’s closely contested referendum on the Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment reflects the state’s narrow partisan divide and procedural uncertainties ahead of the November 3, 2026 vote. The measure, which would embed protections for abortion access through the third trimester with health exceptions, contraception, and fertility care into the constitution, cleared the required legislative hurdles in successive sessions before Governor Spanberger signed enabling legislation in February 2026. A March 2026 lawsuit alleging improper distribution of the text to local clerks remains unresolved and could affect ballot placement. Polling from 2024–early 2026 showed 61–66 percent support, yet shifting turnout among independents, suburban voters, and competing ballot questions on voting rights and marriage could narrow or widen margins. Late campaign spending, legal rulings on the challenge, and any shifts in legislative control after 2025 elections remain key variables that could alter trader assessments of passage.
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
Объем
$103Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 2, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Virginia’s closely contested referendum on the Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment reflects the state’s narrow partisan divide and procedural uncertainties ahead of the November 3, 2026 vote. The measure, which would embed protections for abortion access through the third trimester with health exceptions, contraception, and fertility care into the constitution, cleared the required legislative hurdles in successive sessions before Governor Spanberger signed enabling legislation in February 2026. A March 2026 lawsuit alleging improper distribution of the text to local clerks remains unresolved and could affect ballot placement. Polling from 2024–early 2026 showed 61–66 percent support, yet shifting turnout among independents, suburban voters, and competing ballot questions on voting rights and marriage could narrow or widen margins. Late campaign spending, legal rulings on the challenge, and any shifts in legislative control after 2025 elections remain key variables that could alter trader assessments of passage.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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