The Aguascalientes gubernatorial contest for 2027 remains tightly balanced in trader pricing because PAN retains a structural edge as the incumbent party while Morena consolidates its challenge. Recent party positioning has clarified the main contenders: Leonardo Montañez Castro and Antonio Martín del Campo lead PAN internal preferences, with Martín del Campo showing stronger name recognition in mid-2026 surveys, whereas Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez was formally designated Morena’s state coordinator in late August after prevailing in the party’s internal process. Overall vote intention polls continue to favor PAN by roughly 15–17 points, yet the gap narrows when head-to-head matchups are tested. Key variables that could shift odds include the timing of PAN’s candidate selection, any late alignment of smaller parties, and the effectiveness of Morena’s national coordination efforts in a state long considered a PAN stronghold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLeonardo Montañez Castro 32%
Antonio Martín del Campo 30%
Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez 24%
Ricardo Rodríguez Vargas <1%
$49,815 Vol.
$49,815 Vol.
Leonardo Montañez Castro
41%
Antonio Martín del Campo
30%
Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez
24%
Ricardo Rodríguez Vargas
<1%
Aldo Ruiz Sánchez
<1%
Humberto Ambriz Delgadillo
<1%
Kendor Macías
<1%
Leticia Olivares
<1%
Arturo Ávila Anaya
<1%
Salma Luévano Luna
<1%
Genny Janeth López Valenzuela
<1%
Ana Gómez Calzada
<1%
Lorena Martínez Rodríguez
<1%
Anayeli Muñoz Moreno
<1%
Karla Arely Espinoza
<1%
Leonardo Montañez Castro 32%
Antonio Martín del Campo 30%
Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez 24%
Ricardo Rodríguez Vargas <1%
$49,815 Vol.
$49,815 Vol.
Leonardo Montañez Castro
41%
Antonio Martín del Campo
30%
Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez
24%
Ricardo Rodríguez Vargas
<1%
Aldo Ruiz Sánchez
<1%
Humberto Ambriz Delgadillo
<1%
Kendor Macías
<1%
Leticia Olivares
<1%
Arturo Ávila Anaya
<1%
Salma Luévano Luna
<1%
Genny Janeth López Valenzuela
<1%
Ana Gómez Calzada
<1%
Lorena Martínez Rodríguez
<1%
Anayeli Muñoz Moreno
<1%
Karla Arely Espinoza
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Aguascalientes gubernatorial contest for 2027 remains tightly balanced in trader pricing because PAN retains a structural edge as the incumbent party while Morena consolidates its challenge. Recent party positioning has clarified the main contenders: Leonardo Montañez Castro and Antonio Martín del Campo lead PAN internal preferences, with Martín del Campo showing stronger name recognition in mid-2026 surveys, whereas Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez was formally designated Morena’s state coordinator in late August after prevailing in the party’s internal process. Overall vote intention polls continue to favor PAN by roughly 15–17 points, yet the gap narrows when head-to-head matchups are tested. Key variables that could shift odds include the timing of PAN’s candidate selection, any late alignment of smaller parties, and the effectiveness of Morena’s national coordination efforts in a state long considered a PAN stronghold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes