President Daniel Noboa's term constitutionally runs until May 2025, providing a firm timeline that underpins trader consensus at 71% against his removal by June 30, with no successful impeachment or dissolution challenges materializing. Recent National Assembly votes, led by opposition blocs, failed to advance censure motions against key ministers or the president amid ongoing gang violence, while Noboa's April 2024 security referendum secured strong public backing for extraditions and military deployments. Polling shows sustained approval ratings and a lead in early 2025 election surveys, reducing perceived risks of early ouster despite legislative tensions and judicial reviews. Upcoming Assembly sessions could test stability, but current evidence favors continuity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourAn announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Daniel Noboa's term constitutionally runs until May 2025, providing a firm timeline that underpins trader consensus at 71% against his removal by June 30, with no successful impeachment or dissolution challenges materializing. Recent National Assembly votes, led by opposition blocs, failed to advance censure motions against key ministers or the president amid ongoing gang violence, while Noboa's April 2024 security referendum secured strong public backing for extraditions and military deployments. Polling shows sustained approval ratings and a lead in early 2025 election surveys, reducing perceived risks of early ouster despite legislative tensions and judicial reviews. Upcoming Assembly sessions could test stability, but current evidence favors continuity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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