Recent short-range model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional ensembles points to a September 19 high of 23–25 °C in Ankara under clearing high pressure, light northerly flow, and minimal cloud cover after earlier rain-cooled conditions. This places the market-implied edge on 24 °C, consistent with current 850 hPa temperatures near 12–14 °C and typical late-September diurnal ranges at the city’s ~900 m elevation. Minor spread among runs reflects uncertainty in exact timing of ridge strengthening and boundary-layer mixing, with drier air favoring slightly higher afternoon peaks while any residual moisture could cap readings near 23 °C. Updated midday model cycles and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the final maximum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Ankara le 19 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Ankara le 19 septembre ?
24°C 47%
23°C 35%
25°C 24%
21°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
10%
22°C
13%
23°C
35%
24°C
39%
25°C
24%
26°C
7%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou plus
<1%
24°C 47%
23°C 35%
25°C 24%
21°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
$71 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
3%
21°C
$0 Vol.
10%
22°C
$17 Vol.
13%
23°C
$17 Vol.
35%
24°C
$25 Vol.
39%
25°C
$19 Vol.
24%
26°C
$42 Vol.
7%
27°C
$55 Vol.
1%
28°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
29°C ou plus
$261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional ensembles points to a September 19 high of 23–25 °C in Ankara under clearing high pressure, light northerly flow, and minimal cloud cover after earlier rain-cooled conditions. This places the market-implied edge on 24 °C, consistent with current 850 hPa temperatures near 12–14 °C and typical late-September diurnal ranges at the city’s ~900 m elevation. Minor spread among runs reflects uncertainty in exact timing of ridge strengthening and boundary-layer mixing, with drier air favoring slightly higher afternoon peaks while any residual moisture could cap readings near 23 °C. Updated midday model cycles and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$561Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional ensembles points to a September 19 high of 23–25 °C in Ankara under clearing high pressure, light northerly flow, and minimal cloud cover after earlier rain-cooled conditions. This places the market-implied edge on 24 °C, consistent with current 850 hPa temperatures near 12–14 °C and typical late-September diurnal ranges at the city’s ~900 m elevation. Minor spread among runs reflects uncertainty in exact timing of ridge strengthening and boundary-layer mixing, with drier air favoring slightly higher afternoon peaks while any residual moisture could cap readings near 23 °C. Updated midday model cycles and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$561Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional ensembles points to a September 19 high of 23–25 °C in Ankara under clearing high pressure, light northerly flow, and minimal cloud cover after earlier rain-cooled conditions. This places the market-implied edge on 24 °C, consistent with current 850 hPa temperatures near 12–14 °C and typical late-September diurnal ranges at the city’s ~900 m elevation. Minor spread among runs reflects uncertainty in exact timing of ridge strengthening and boundary-layer mixing, with drier air favoring slightly higher afternoon peaks while any residual moisture could cap readings near 23 °C. Updated midday model cycles and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the final maximum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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