Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty in Karachi's April 19 high temperature, with 33°C (17.5%) and 34°C (18.5%) leading amid divergent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) and global models like those aggregated by BBC Weather, projecting 33-35°C under mainly hot, dry conditions. Recent record April rainfall earlier this month temporarily cooled the region, but subsidence from a persistent upper-level ridge and pre-monsoon heating have driven rebounding highs toward seasonal norms of 34°C, moderated by Arabian Sea breezes that cap coastal peaks. Differentiating factors include sea breeze strength—stronger onshore flow favors 33°C via evaporative cooling, while weaker winds or urban heat island effects push toward 34°C or higher. PMD daily bulletins through April 18 could refine model consensus on cloud cover and humidity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Karachi on April 19?
Highest temperature in Karachi on April 19?
33°C 23%
34°C 20%
32°C 14%
35°C or higher 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 avr. 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
8%
32°C
14%
33°C
23%
34°C
20%
35°C or higher
13%
33°C 23%
34°C 20%
32°C 14%
35°C or higher 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 avr. 2026
25°C or below
$288 Vol.
1%
26°C
$237 Vol.
3%
27°C
$166 Vol.
3%
28°C
$151 Vol.
5%
29°C
$19 Vol.
2%
30°C
$57 Vol.
9%
31°C
$58 Vol.
8%
32°C
$0 Vol.
14%
33°C
$0 Vol.
23%
34°C
$21 Vol.
20%
35°C or higher
$5 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty in Karachi's April 19 high temperature, with 33°C (17.5%) and 34°C (18.5%) leading amid divergent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) and global models like those aggregated by BBC Weather, projecting 33-35°C under mainly hot, dry conditions. Recent record April rainfall earlier this month temporarily cooled the region, but subsidence from a persistent upper-level ridge and pre-monsoon heating have driven rebounding highs toward seasonal norms of 34°C, moderated by Arabian Sea breezes that cap coastal peaks. Differentiating factors include sea breeze strength—stronger onshore flow favors 33°C via evaporative cooling, while weaker winds or urban heat island effects push toward 34°C or higher. PMD daily bulletins through April 18 could refine model consensus on cloud cover and humidity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 17, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volume
$1,002Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 12:13 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty in Karachi's April 19 high temperature, with 33°C (17.5%) and 34°C (18.5%) leading amid divergent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) and global models like those aggregated by BBC Weather, projecting 33-35°C under mainly hot, dry conditions. Recent record April rainfall earlier this month temporarily cooled the region, but subsidence from a persistent upper-level ridge and pre-monsoon heating have driven rebounding highs toward seasonal norms of 34°C, moderated by Arabian Sea breezes that cap coastal peaks. Differentiating factors include sea breeze strength—stronger onshore flow favors 33°C via evaporative cooling, while weaker winds or urban heat island effects push toward 34°C or higher. PMD daily bulletins through April 18 could refine model consensus on cloud cover and humidity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,002Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 12:13 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty in Karachi's April 19 high temperature, with 33°C (17.5%) and 34°C (18.5%) leading amid divergent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) and global models like those aggregated by BBC Weather, projecting 33-35°C under mainly hot, dry conditions. Recent record April rainfall earlier this month temporarily cooled the region, but subsidence from a persistent upper-level ridge and pre-monsoon heating have driven rebounding highs toward seasonal norms of 34°C, moderated by Arabian Sea breezes that cap coastal peaks. Differentiating factors include sea breeze strength—stronger onshore flow favors 33°C via evaporative cooling, while weaker winds or urban heat island effects push toward 34°C or higher. PMD daily bulletins through April 18 could refine model consensus on cloud cover and humidity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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